aiimpacts.org

AI Impacts

AIimpacts.org aims to improve our understanding of the likely impacts of human-level artificial intelligence. Subscribe to the Blog. A new approach to predicting brain-computer parity. How large does a computer need to be before it is ‘as powerful’ as the human brain? This is a difficult question, which people have answered before, with[.]. Preliminary prices for human-level hardware. Brain performance in TEPS. Trends in the cost of computing. The cost of TEPS. Research topic: Hardware, software and AI.

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AI Impacts | aiimpacts.org Reviews

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AIimpacts.org aims to improve our understanding of the likely impacts of human-level artificial intelligence. Subscribe to the Blog. A new approach to predicting brain-computer parity. How large does a computer need to be before it is ‘as powerful’ as the human brain? This is a difficult question, which people have answered before, with[.]. Preliminary prices for human-level hardware. Brain performance in TEPS. Trends in the cost of computing. The cost of TEPS. Research topic: Hardware, software and AI.

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AI Impacts | aiimpacts.org Reviews

https://aiimpacts.org

AIimpacts.org aims to improve our understanding of the likely impacts of human-level artificial intelligence. Subscribe to the Blog. A new approach to predicting brain-computer parity. How large does a computer need to be before it is ‘as powerful’ as the human brain? This is a difficult question, which people have answered before, with[.]. Preliminary prices for human-level hardware. Brain performance in TEPS. Trends in the cost of computing. The cost of TEPS. Research topic: Hardware, software and AI.

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aiimpacts.org

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AI Impacts – Possible Empirical Investigations

http://aiimpacts.org/possible-investigations

Posted By: Katja Grace. In the course of our work, we have noticed a number of empirical questions which bear on our forecasts and might be (relatively) cheap to resolve. In the future we hope to address some of these. Our partial list of investigations into forecasting AI timelines. Our list of investigations that bear on ‘multipolar’ AI scenarios. Look at the work of ancient or enlightenment mathematicians and control for possible selection effects in this analysis. Estimate the change in inputs in mat...

2

AI Impacts

http://aiimpacts.org/page/2

AIimpacts.org aims to improve our understanding of the likely impacts of human-level artificial intelligence. Friendly AI as a global public good. A public good, in the economic sense, can be (roughly) characterized as a desirable good that is likely to be undersupplied, or not supplied at[.]. Error in Armstrong and Sotala 2012. Can AI researchers say anything useful about when strong AI will arrive? Back in 2012, Stuart Armstrong and Kaj Sotala weighed in on this question in a[.]. Nuclear weapons were a...

3

AI Impacts – Blog

http://aiimpacts.org/blog

Friendly AI as a global public good. Posted By: Michael Wulfsohn. A public good, in the economic sense, can be (roughly) characterized as a desirable good that is likely to be undersupplied, or not supplied at all, by private companies. It generally falls to the government to supply such goods. Examples include infrastructure networks, or a country’s military. See here. For a more detailed explanation of public goods. Scott Barrett, in his excellent book Why Cooperate? Climate change mitigation is classi...

4

AI Impacts – Trends in the cost of computing

http://aiimpacts.org/trends-in-the-cost-of-computing

Trends in the cost of computing. Trends in the cost of computing. Posted By: Katja Grace. Computing power available per dollar has probably increased by a factor of ten roughly every four years in the last quarter of a century (measured in FLOPS or MIPS). Since the 1940s, MIPS/$ have grown by a factor of ten roughly every five years, and FLOPS/$ roughly every 7.7 years. An updated version of the data is here. From Figure 1, Nordhaus, 2001. Sandberg and Bostrom (2008). Investigate hardware performance tre...

5

AI Impacts – About

http://aiimpacts.org/about

This project aims to improve our understanding of the likely impacts of human-level artificial intelligence. The intended audience includes researchers doing work related to artificial intelligence, philanthropists involved in funding research related to artificial intelligence, and policy-makers whose decisions may be influenced by their expectations about artificial intelligence. The focus is particularly on the long-term impacts of sophisticated artificial intelligence. The goal of the project is to c...

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katjagrace.com

Writing | Katja Grace

https://katjagrace.com/writing

Other Katja related things. Algorithmic progress in six domains. Anthropic Reasoning and the Great Filter. Cause prioritization shallow overview:. Summary of my impressions (pdf). Sea n O hE igeartaigh (pdf). Robert Wiblin (on CCC) (pdf). 6 thoughts on “ Writing. Pingback: Shallow investigation into cause prioritization Meteuphoric. Pingback: Conversation with Paul Penley of Excellence in Giving Meteuphoric. Pingback: Gordon Irlam on the BEGuide Meteuphoric. Leave a Reply Cancel reply.

paulfchristiano.com

AI Control | Paul Christiano

https://paulfchristiano.com/ai

Research in CS Theory. I want to see a future where AI systems help humans get what they want, and where AI is much. Robust and reliable than existing software. I think we’ll probably succeed and that progress in AI will make the world radically better. But this will require substantial work, and there is a risk that sophisticated AI systems will be much. I write about AI control from a theoretical perspective here. I am currently an intern at OpenAI. As a contractor for Theiss Research.

intelligence.org

Team - Machine Intelligence Research Institute

https://intelligence.org/team

Heads MIRI’s research program. He first joined MIRI in 2014 as a Research Fellow, quickly earning a strong reputation for his strategic insight and high productivity. Nate is the primary author of most of MIRI’s technical agenda. Including the overview document Agent Foundations for Aligning Superintelligence with Human Interests. 2014) and the AAAI paper “ Corrigibility. 8221; (2015). Prior to MIRI, Nate worked as a software engineer at Google. Cambridge Handbook of Artificial Intelligence. Is intereste...

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Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI) | Vipul Naik

http://vipulnaik.com/miri

Graduate studies (University of Chicago, Math Ph.D.). Undergraduate studies (Chennai Mathematical Institute, Math & CS). Olympiads (math, last two years of high school). Math 151 (limits differentiation). Math 153 (advanced integration techniques sequences/series). Math 195 (multivariable calculus). Math 196 (linear algebra). Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI). Subject wikis (Groupprops etc.). Vipul’s Classroom (videos in calculus, group theory, etc.). Posts relate to my work for the project&...

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aiimpacts.org

AI Impacts

AIimpacts.org aims to improve our understanding of the likely impacts of human-level artificial intelligence. Subscribe to the Blog. A new approach to predicting brain-computer parity. How large does a computer need to be before it is ‘as powerful’ as the human brain? This is a difficult question, which people have answered before, with[.]. Preliminary prices for human-level hardware. Brain performance in TEPS. Trends in the cost of computing. The cost of TEPS. Research topic: Hardware, software and AI.

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