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Bill Jefferys Home Page

Welcome to Bill Jefferys' Home Page. I am Harlan J. Smith Centennial Professor Emeritus in Astronomy. At the University of Texas at Austin. And former chairman of the U.T. Department of Astronomy. I am also an Adjunct Professor of Statistics. At the University of Vermont. The Astronomy Department of the University of Texas hosted a retirement party for me, " Priors, Quaternions, and Residuals, Oh My. Click here to email me! Here are some Selected Papers. I was the Principal Investigator. The brochure was...

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Bill Jefferys Home Page | bayesrules.net Reviews
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Welcome to Bill Jefferys' Home Page. I am Harlan J. Smith Centennial Professor Emeritus in Astronomy. At the University of Texas at Austin. And former chairman of the U.T. Department of Astronomy. I am also an Adjunct Professor of Statistics. At the University of Vermont. The Astronomy Department of the University of Texas hosted a retirement party for me, Priors, Quaternions, and Residuals, Oh My. Click here to email me! Here are some Selected Papers. I was the Principal Investigator. The brochure was...
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Bill Jefferys Home Page | bayesrules.net Reviews

https://bayesrules.net

Welcome to Bill Jefferys' Home Page. I am Harlan J. Smith Centennial Professor Emeritus in Astronomy. At the University of Texas at Austin. And former chairman of the U.T. Department of Astronomy. I am also an Adjunct Professor of Statistics. At the University of Vermont. The Astronomy Department of the University of Texas hosted a retirement party for me, " Priors, Quaternions, and Residuals, Oh My. Click here to email me! Here are some Selected Papers. I was the Principal Investigator. The brochure was...

INTERNAL PAGES

bayesrules.net bayesrules.net
1

Bill Jefferys Goodies Page

http://www.bayesrules.net/BillInfo/Goodies.html

Welcome to Bill Jefferys' Goodies Page. The juvenile sea squirt wanders through the sea searching for a suitable rock or hunk of coral to cling to and make its home for life. For this task it has a rudimentary nervous system. When it finds its spot and takes root, it doesn't need its brain any more so it eats it. (It's rather like getting tenure.)" - Daniel Dennett, in Consciousness Explained. 1991), p. 177. C Blakemore and S. Greenfield, Eds. Protect your brain. Click here:. If you click on the picture ...

2

Atlas of Surfaces of Section

http://www.bayesrules.net/Atlas.html

An Atlas of Surfaces of Section. For the Restricted Problem. This is a project that I worked on some 30 years ago. A summary of the work was published in Stability regions for quasiperiodic motion in the restricted problem of three bodies. But the entire work has only been available as a report, which is now out of print. Since I still occasionally get requests for this report, I decided to make it available on the web. The scans for the surfaces-of-section are arranged by mass parameter mu=m1/(m1 m2) wh...

3

1995 New York Howlerfest

http://www.bayesrules.net/BillInfo/Howlerfest/howlerfest.html

Presenting.the 1995 New York Howlerfest, held at the Museum of Natural History. Here are the pictures of the 1995 New York Howlerfest, which was held at the Museum of Natural History on July 28, 1995, followed by festivities at the Panda's Thumb. Please E-mail any corrections for names, etc to . I've tried to get everything right, but Murphy Rules. Following the pictures, I've appended some descriptions of the festivities that were posted earlier. Chris Colby (AKA The Dean) and Warren Kurt vonRoeschlaub.

4

Recent Papers

http://www.bayesrules.net/Papers.html

I've just started working on this part of my website, so only a few papers are listed below. If I have time I may put up some others for which I've had significant numbers of requests and which are not otherwise available on the web. To retrieve a fairly complete bibliography of my publications, click here. This information is provided to you courtesy of NASA's Astrophysics Data System (ADS). The papers retrieved in this way do not. Now available on the web after being out of print for several years.

5

Why Vermont?

http://www.bayesrules.net/BillInfo/farmpix/farmpix.html

We have conserved about 127 acres of land that were originally part of the farm that Bill's parents bought in 1957. We did this by donating a conservation easement to the Vermont Land Trust. This land will remain agricultural forever. The local Valley Reporter. Published an article describing our donation of this conservation easement to the Land Trust. So, here are some pictures taken of and from our farm. These cows were owned and pastured many years ago on the land below the house by a local farmer&#4...

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andrewgelman.com andrewgelman.com

How to solve the Post Office’s problems? - Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

http://andrewgelman.com/2011/09/how-to-solve-the-post-office’s-problems

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science. Laquo; Hipmunk FAIL: Graphics without content is not enough. The difference between significant and not significant…. How to solve the Post Office’s problems? On 8 September 2011, 9:30 am. Felix Salmon offers some suggestions. For some background, see this news article. By Steven Greenhouse.). September 8, 2011 at 10:13 am. Get into financial services? Banks don’t like competition, even for firms likely to start by serving customers they d...

normaldeviate.wordpress.com normaldeviate.wordpress.com

Stein’s Method « Normal Deviate

https://normaldeviate.wordpress.com/2013/11/16/steins-method

Thoughts on Statistics and Machine Learning. Nonparametric Regression, ABC and CNN. THE END ». I have mentioned Stein’s method. In passing, a few times on this blog. Today I want to talk about Stein’s method in a bit of detail. 1 What Is Stein’s Method? Stein’s method, due to Charles Stein, is actually quite old, going back to 1972. But there has been a great deal of interest in the method lately. As in many things, Stein was ahead of his time. Of some random variable. We want to bound. If and only if.

andrewgelman.com andrewgelman.com

Extra babies on Valentine’s Day, fewer on Halloween? - Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

http://andrewgelman.com/2012/02/more-babies-on-valentines-day-and-less-babies-on-halloween

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science. Laquo; Recently in the sister blog. The tabloids strike again. Extra babies on Valentine’s Day, fewer on Halloween? On 14 February 2012, 9:05 am. Just in time for the holiday, X pointed. Me to an article. By Becca Levy, Pil Chung, and Martin Slade reporting that, during a recent eleven-year period, more babies were born on Valentine’s Day and fewer on Halloween compared to neighboring days:. Filed under Decision Theory. 8211; where I live you ha...

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Put the known probabilities in the fields below, click the " Calculate Bayes Rule. Button, and see the result of. P( D H) =. P(H, D) = P(H) P(D H). 1-prior) (1 - specificity). P( H, D) = P( H) P(D H). P(H, D) = P(H) P( D H). P( H, D) = P( H) P( D H).

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Bill Jefferys Home Page

Welcome to Bill Jefferys' Home Page. I am Harlan J. Smith Centennial Professor Emeritus in Astronomy. At the University of Texas at Austin. And former chairman of the U.T. Department of Astronomy. I am also an Adjunct Professor of Statistics. At the University of Vermont. The Astronomy Department of the University of Texas hosted a retirement party for me, " Priors, Quaternions, and Residuals, Oh My. Click here to email me! Here are some Selected Papers. I was the Principal Investigator. The brochure was...

bayesrules.org bayesrules.org

Bill Jefferys Home Page

Welcome to Bill Jefferys' Home Page. I am Harlan J. Smith Centennial Professor Emeritus in Astronomy. At the University of Texas at Austin. And former chairman of the U.T. Department of Astronomy. I am also an Adjunct Professor of Statistics. At the University of Vermont. The Astronomy Department of the University of Texas hosted a retirement party for me, " Priors, Quaternions, and Residuals, Oh My. Click here to email me! Here are some Selected Papers. I was the Principal Investigator. The brochure was...

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