criticalinfluence.blogspot.com
Critical InfluenceA critical and independent discussion of economics, finance, politics and culture.
http://criticalinfluence.blogspot.com/
A critical and independent discussion of economics, finance, politics and culture.
http://criticalinfluence.blogspot.com/
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Critical Influence | criticalinfluence.blogspot.com Reviews
https://criticalinfluence.blogspot.com
A critical and independent discussion of economics, finance, politics and culture.
Critical Influence: Persian Problems
http://criticalinfluence.blogspot.com/2010/11/wikileaks-statfor-analysis-of-iranian.html
A critical and independent discussion of economics, finance, politics and culture. Monday, November 29, 2010. Swan we should be thinking about? December 1, 2010 at 3:53 PM. The whole US foreign strategy from 2011 onwards is in itself one big potential black swan.They simply do have the political or financial capital to keep going in Iraq and Afghan.let along take on Nth Korea and Iran. They will bomb as targeted as possible and just accept the human cost of this action as collateral damage.
Critical Influence: October 2010
http://criticalinfluence.blogspot.com/2010_10_01_archive.html
A critical and independent discussion of economics, finance, politics and culture. Sunday, October 31, 2010. Welcome to my blog. Hi and welcome to my blog. After years of screaming blue murder at all the injustices in the world I have finally got my act together and set up a blog. What an amazing time in history the last few years have been! Expect to see a strong focus on the following subjects in the next few months:. Australian housing market (bubble? Chinese economy (another bubble? I hope to be both.
Critical Influence: Lies, Damned Lies, and Housing Statistics
http://criticalinfluence.blogspot.com/2010/11/lies-damned-lies-and-housing-statistics.html
A critical and independent discussion of economics, finance, politics and culture. Thursday, November 4, 2010. Lies, Damned Lies, and Housing Statistics. Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please. The Great Affordability Swindle. For many years the debate about Australia's unaffordable housing market raged. In simple terms this ratio is defined as:. Price to Income Ratio = Median House Price / Median Disposable Household Income. Sounds like a sensible test for affordability, right?
Critical Influence: CPI - Confusing Price Index
http://criticalinfluence.blogspot.com/2010/11/cpi-confusing-price-index.html
A critical and independent discussion of economics, finance, politics and culture. Tuesday, November 30, 2010. CPI - Confusing Price Index. I am fairly busy on the home and work front at the moment so not a lot of time for a new (meaningful) post. I wanted to post a link to a wonderful John Mauldin essay recently. Dissecting US inflation data. Mauldin starts by questioning the current suite of inflation data showing moderate positive inflation in the US, and then goes on to say:. The index value as of th...
Critical Influence: Australian Greens: Populism 1, Economic Credibility 0
http://criticalinfluence.blogspot.com/2010/11/australian-greens-populism-1-economic.html
A critical and independent discussion of economics, finance, politics and culture. Sunday, November 14, 2010. Australian Greens: Populism 1, Economic Credibility 0. Laurie Oakes interviewed Green's leader Bob Brown this morning. Full transcript. They should be required to go at least as far down as the Reserve Bank. Ignorance in stating that the RBA decides what a "fair and reasonable interest rate rise" is. What hogwash. Update - just saw. November 14, 2010 at 5:33 PM. This one episode alone should ensu...
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More On “Compositional Effects” | The 'BurbWatch Project
https://burbwatch.wordpress.com/2012/01/06/more-on-compositional-effects
The 'BurbWatch Project. A Common Eye on Australian Property Supply…. More On “Compositional Effects”. More On “Compositional Effects”. January 6, 2012. I’ll admit this is a little more of a “dry” post…. 8230;but after looking at some info on the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) website, I noticed the following in a section on “ Average Weekly Earnings, Australia, Aug 2011. 8220;, relating to “Compositional Effects”:. 8211; before reporting the point-value metric (average, median, etc); the only exam...
Australia: New Phase? Rental Listings Acceleration (corrected) | The 'BurbWatch Project
https://burbwatch.wordpress.com/2011/11/13/australia-new-phase-rental-listings-acceleration
The 'BurbWatch Project. A Common Eye on Australian Property Supply…. Rental Listings Acceleration (corrected). Rental Listings Acceleration (corrected). November 13, 2011. I have recently noticed that, in most states, and for Australia nationally, the market seems to be entering a new “phase” – and be “phase”, I here refer to either the rate of change in sales or rental listings outstripping the other. There is probably a “competitive tension” between the sales and rental listings, where rela...Rental li...
Follow up to my last post: The recent Australian sales surge, and the NSW factor | The 'BurbWatch Project
https://burbwatch.wordpress.com/2011/11/13/follow-up-to-my-last-post-the-recent-australian-sales-surge-and-the-nsw-factor
The 'BurbWatch Project. A Common Eye on Australian Property Supply…. Follow up to my last post: The recent Australian sales surge, and the NSW factor. Follow up to my last post: The recent Australian sales surge, and the NSW factor. November 13, 2011. I wrote a “quick” reply to a visitor name “TM”, who responded to my last post, “ Australia: New Phase? I promised some more context, so here is some updated data for Australia. Australian Relative Sales Trend. As you can readily observe, the general trend o...
All-States Price Index Update – 24/12/2011 | The 'BurbWatch Project
https://burbwatch.wordpress.com/2011/12/24/all-states-price-index-update-24122011
The 'BurbWatch Project. A Common Eye on Australian Property Supply…. All-States Price Index Update – 24/12/2011. All-States Price Index Update – 24/12/2011. December 24, 2011. It’s been a little while since I’ve posted, so I thought I would throw something out there into cyber-space, to let you all know I am still on-the-go. So, here’s a short something to wet your whistle…. I don’t have data for actual sold-price, which is what all the media-reported indices are based on (and rightly so! Because they ar...
Sales in Perspective – State by State | The 'BurbWatch Project
https://burbwatch.wordpress.com/2012/02/19/sales-in-perspective-state-by-state
The 'BurbWatch Project. A Common Eye on Australian Property Supply…. Sales in Perspective – State by State. Sales in Perspective – State by State. February 19, 2012. To those of you that are familiar with The ‘BurbWatch Project, you will likely also be familiar with my “Relative Sales” concept. It compares the number of sales recorded with the amount of stock on the market. What about changes in the distributions and demographics of those who might buy properties? One way I try to make a basic adjustment...
Has sales stock peaked for this property cycle? | The 'BurbWatch Project
https://burbwatch.wordpress.com/2011/11/16/has-sales-stock-peaked-for-this-property-cycle
The 'BurbWatch Project. A Common Eye on Australian Property Supply…. Has sales stock peaked for this property cycle? Has sales stock peaked for this property cycle? November 16, 2011. I saw this article written by Alistair Walsh, and featuring opinions of Louis Christopher of. Great company, great website! Which was re-posted on the Australian Property Forum, having been originally listed at. I’m not going to agree or disagree with Louis emphatically…. Given the very high demand for rentals and the very ...
www.burbwatch.com.au Chart Update – The First For Quite a While! | The 'BurbWatch Project
https://burbwatch.wordpress.com/2012/08/28/www-burbwatch-com-au-chart-update-the-first-for-quite-a-while
The 'BurbWatch Project. A Common Eye on Australian Property Supply…. Wwwburbwatch.com.au Chart Update – The First For Quite a While! Wwwburbwatch.com.au Chart Update – The First For Quite a While! August 28, 2012. Those of you who have been following me for a few years would know/realise that I have not been very active for the last year or so; in fact, I have not updated www.burbwatch.com.au. For some 9-12 months (not sure how long exactly! Now, at long last, I have updated the charts site. Http:/ www&#...
All-States Calculated Median Vendor Price Index Chart; and Considering Compositional Bias | The 'BurbWatch Project
https://burbwatch.wordpress.com/2011/12/29/all-states-calculated-median-vendor-price-index-chart-and-considering-compositional-bias
The 'BurbWatch Project. A Common Eye on Australian Property Supply…. All-States Calculated Median Vendor Price Index Chart; and Considering Compositional Bias. All-States Calculated Median Vendor Price Index Chart; and Considering Compositional Bias. December 29, 2011. In accordance with the last post, I have put this one together for all the Australian states combined, for the Calculated Median Index (as opposed to the Weighted Average Index, from the last post):. Of the data set in question…. It is int...
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criticalinfluence.blogspot.com
Critical Influence
A critical and independent discussion of economics, finance, politics and culture. Wednesday, December 8, 2010. A few thoughts on National Accounts - Household Income. I stumbled upon a few things that I think are relevant to my. For example, the ABS published the following in its 2007 item titled. Spotlight on National Accounts: Household Savings Ratio. In a number of instances the household sector is measured as a residual of all other sectors. The most worrying revelation in the above quote from the A...
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