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Rational Analysis of Global Civilizational Risk
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Rational Analysis of Global Civilizational Risk
earlywarn.blogspot.com
Early Warning: Saudi Arabian Oil Production
http://earlywarn.blogspot.com/2013/08/saudi-arabian-oil-production.html
Rational Analysis of Global Civilizational Risk. Wednesday, August 14, 2013. Saudi Arabian Oil Production. The above graph shows Saudi production of crude and condensate (ie oil) from 1995 through July. There are several data sources, but the black line is the average. The red curve is the number of oil rigs working in the country, and is a rough proxy for the level of effort being made to maintain or increase production. Posted by Stuart Staniford. August 15, 2013 at 5:03 AM. Fire and Drought in the US.
Early Warning: Monday Links
http://earlywarn.blogspot.com/2013/08/monday-links_19.html
Rational Analysis of Global Civilizational Risk. Monday, August 19, 2013. This detention of Glenn Greenwald's partner. Things going from bad to worse. For scanning the Internet in 45 minutes (with a gigabit uplink). Posted by Stuart Staniford. Http:/ www.theage.com.au/environment/climate-change/how-australias-big-wet-befuddled-scientists-20130820-2s8k5.html. August 20, 2013 at 12:20 AM. August 20, 2013 at 2:41 AM. I think the problem is that we are using pre-computing tools (oversight by trusted individu...
Early Warning: Are Winters Getting Warmer in Ithaca, NY?
http://earlywarn.blogspot.com/2014/01/are-winters-getting-warmer-in-ithaca-ny.html
Rational Analysis of Global Civilizational Risk. Monday, January 6, 2014. Are Winters Getting Warmer in Ithaca, NY? This is of somewhat local interest, though perhaps it's also an example that may be educational elsewhere. I found data for the Cornell weather station here. You can see immediately what people are referring to - it was. Four or five degrees colder in the seventies and eighties than recently - certainly enough to notice. However, attribution of this local change to global warming is mad...
Early Warning: Peak Oil is not Synchronous
http://earlywarn.blogspot.com/2011/06/peak-oil-is-not-synchronous.html
Rational Analysis of Global Civilizational Risk. Tuesday, June 28, 2011. Peak Oil is not Synchronous. This morning, I took the oil consumption page of the BP spreadsheet. And applied a mechanical test to each country: was 2010 the highest year of consumption over the range 1990-2010? If this is true, let's call the country an "advancer", and if not, let's call it a "decliner". Here are all the advancers:. If we look at the countries where 2010 was not the highest consumption, in the aggregate we get this:.
Early Warning: Decline of Backpacking
http://earlywarn.blogspot.com/2012/07/decline-of-backpacking.html
Rational Analysis of Global Civilizational Risk. Monday, July 30, 2012. Nicholas Kristov in the New York Times has a column. Describing a wilderness backpacking trip he took with his daughter and articulating the importance of actually visiting nature in order to care about it:. In the column, he references these stats. From the National Park Service (looking at the "Back Country Overnights" which seems likely to be a decent proxy for overall backpacking levels). Kristov writes:. Firstly, it does appear ...
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GraphOilogy: Iraq Production Reached 3 Million Barrels per Day in February
http://www.graphoilogy.com/2012/03/iraq-production-reached-3-million.html
Inference of future production from an oil production profile. The theory underlying graphoilogy is that production profile is an expression of limited oil reserves; hence, a systematic analysis of the way production profiles are shaped can reveal traits of actual ressources. Hubbert, M. King. (1956). Wednesday, March 07, 2012. Iraq Production Reached 3 Million Barrels per Day in February. The terminal's full capacity will be 900,000 barrels a day. The Non OECD Supply Impact on Oil Prices.
GraphOilogy: June 2011
http://www.graphoilogy.com/2011_06_01_archive.html
Inference of future production from an oil production profile. The theory underlying graphoilogy is that production profile is an expression of limited oil reserves; hence, a systematic analysis of the way production profiles are shaped can reveal traits of actual ressources. Hubbert, M. King. (1956). Tuesday, June 28, 2011. Impact of the Release of the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve. In an unprecedented move, the IEA announced. Links to this post. Thursday, June 23, 2011. On June 18, the JODI.
Hydrocarbon Watch: February 2011
http://hydrocarbonwatch.blogspot.com/2011_02_01_archive.html
Tracking the Changing World of Energy. Tuesday, February 8, 2011. IEA Oil Market Report 1992-2011. Saturday, February 5, 2011. Short-Term Energy Outlook 1983-1996. Here's a download of a text file. With all of the STEOs for this era; handy for researching. It's only 7 mb, contrast the 457 mb pdf I made of the originals. The text file is largely full of junk characters copied from tables etc but you can search it easy enough. I'll do the same with the IEA's OMR when the chance arises.
Hydrocarbon Watch: Short-Term Energy Outlook 1983-1996
http://hydrocarbonwatch.blogspot.com/2011/02/short-term-energy-outlook-1983-1996.html
Tracking the Changing World of Energy. Saturday, February 5, 2011. Short-Term Energy Outlook 1983-1996. Here's a download of a text file. With all of the STEOs for this era; handy for researching. It's only 7 mb, contrast the 457 mb pdf I made of the originals. The text file is largely full of junk characters copied from tables etc but you can search it easy enough. I'll do the same with the IEA's OMR when the chance arises. Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom). IEA Oil Market Report 1992-2011.
Hydrocarbon Watch: EIA Quarterly Data 1983-1993
http://hydrocarbonwatch.blogspot.com/2011/01/eia-quarterly-data-1983-1993.html
Tracking the Changing World of Energy. Thursday, January 20, 2011. EIA Quarterly Data 1983-1993. Presumably they're waiting for a flunky to scan these and punch the numbers in; well, having waited some years for this to happen, I went ahead and did the deed myself. This was a bit time consuming, but I learned a fair deal about OCR software in the process. I have data on OPEC quotas ready to match up with this in the next post, and also the spare capacity stuff from WTRG. Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom).
Hydrocarbon Watch: OPEC Quotas/Production/Price 1982-2006
http://hydrocarbonwatch.blogspot.com/2011/01/opec-quotasproductionprice-1982-2006.html
Tracking the Changing World of Energy. Thursday, January 27, 2011. Armed with our quarterly production series for OPEC 1982 through 1993, let's match that up with OPEC quotas and oil prices. For historic prices I generally use US FOB Spot, since the EIA monthly series goes all the way back to 1973. OPEC quotas are here;. I've distilled what they offer into a spreadsheet, downloadable here: OPEC Quotas. And there is a further complication. OPEC, although it has given out the overall target number for ...
industrializedcyclistnotes.com
Dan Koeppel on the Pasadena-LA elevated bike highway | Industrialized Cyclist Notepad
https://industrializedcyclistnotes.com/2015/04/28/dan-koeppel-on-the-pasadena-la-elevated-bike-highway
Is a digital notebook of transportation and energy information for THE INDUSTRIALIZED CYCLIST. Is the author of The Art of [Urban] Cycling. Hiking Through History Colorado. The Art of Mountain Biking: Singletrack Skills for All Riders. Best Bike Rides Denver and Boulder. Road Biking Colorado's Front Range. Mountain Biking Colorado's San Juan Mountains: Durango and Telluride. And The Bicycle Commuter's Handbook. Robert @ industrializedcyclist . com. Bike of the Day. Mineta Bikeshare Safety Study. Via An 1...
industrializedcyclistnotes.com
Oil CEO Pressured Oklahoma U. Dean to Fire Scientists | Industrialized Cyclist Notepad
https://industrializedcyclistnotes.com/2015/05/20/oil-ceo-pressured-oklahoma-u-dean-to-fire-scientists
Is a digital notebook of transportation and energy information for THE INDUSTRIALIZED CYCLIST. Is the author of The Art of [Urban] Cycling. Hiking Through History Colorado. The Art of Mountain Biking: Singletrack Skills for All Riders. Best Bike Rides Denver and Boulder. Road Biking Colorado's Front Range. Mountain Biking Colorado's San Juan Mountains: Durango and Telluride. And The Bicycle Commuter's Handbook. Robert @ industrializedcyclist . com. Bike of the Day. Mineta Bikeshare Safety Study. Who stud...
industrializedcyclistnotes.com
October | 2014 | Industrialized Cyclist Notepad
https://industrializedcyclistnotes.com/2014/10
Is a digital notebook of transportation and energy information for THE INDUSTRIALIZED CYCLIST. Is the author of The Art of [Urban] Cycling. Hiking Through History Colorado. The Art of Mountain Biking: Singletrack Skills for All Riders. Best Bike Rides Denver and Boulder. Road Biking Colorado's Front Range. Mountain Biking Colorado's San Juan Mountains: Durango and Telluride. And The Bicycle Commuter's Handbook. Robert @ industrializedcyclist . com. Bike of the Day. Mineta Bikeshare Safety Study. Question...
Hydrocarbon Watch: Historical Spare Capacity
http://hydrocarbonwatch.blogspot.com/2011/01/historical-spare-capacity.html
Tracking the Changing World of Energy. Monday, January 17, 2011. It's simple enough to find charts of this, but the actual numbers are MIA. The EIA provides them for the previous decade or so via their Short-Term Energy Outlook. A 2006 TOD post, by noting the difference between production and refining capacity in the 2005 BP Stat Review, yielding this:. A site I've found very useful is John Williams's WTRG, and its Oil Price History and Analysis. Spare Capacity in the papers:. In less than two years, it ...
TOTAL LINKS TO THIS WEBSITE
436
e a r l y w a r e
Inspired by the nature within us and around us. I receive the intangible more precious than gold, And rather than leaving it on the shore of my mind, Where the ebb and flow of my . Last night I walked down to the city hall with a book in hand to read on a bench under the acorn trees. The quiet courtyard was littered . Its hard to keep track of time and good sense when catching a sunset from the peak of a mountain. I chose to not miss this view than. When bananas go brown but I dont have the time to imm...
EWM
Early War Miniatures welcomes you to our Web store. Update 19th March 2018 – New Danish Army update…. For the first time, a list of whats coming, appears at the bottom of this post. Here though, are some tempting photos of the models made and ready so far. Motorcycles, we have a good number of Nimbus with lmg, auto canons, side cars and solo versions. Radio and supply are close to completion. First time I have worked to a list and been this organised, hope it makes sense? 5 x French Foreign Legion infant...
Early Warning
Rational Analysis of Global Civilizational Risk. Monday, December 11, 2017. Posted by Stuart Staniford. Links to this post. Monday, January 6, 2014. Are Winters Getting Warmer in Ithaca, NY? Posted by Stuart Staniford. Links to this post. Monday, December 30, 2013. Is Europe Recovering Yet? Posted by Stuart Staniford. Links to this post. Monday, December 23, 2013. Posted by Stuart Staniford. Links to this post. Friday, September 27, 2013. Monthly Oil Supply Update. Posted by Stuart Staniford. The documen...
