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Economic Darwinism | On the origin of crises by unnatural selection

On the origin of crises by unnatural selection

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Economic Darwinism | On the origin of crises by unnatural selection | economicdarwinism.wordpress.com Reviews

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On the origin of crises by unnatural selection

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Testimony of Chairman Ben S. Bernanke: July 18, 2007 | Economic Darwinism

https://economicdarwinism.wordpress.com/2009/07/26/testimony-of-chairman-ben-s-bernanke-july-18-2007

Skip to search - Accesskey = s. Testimony of Chairman Ben S. Bernanke: July 18, 2007. By Economic Darwinism on July 26, 2009. Testimony of Chairman Ben S. Bernanke. Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress. Before the Committee on Financial Services, U.S. House of Representatives. July 18, 2007. Chairman Bernanke presented identical testimony before the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, U.S. Senate, on July 19, 2007. In addition to its dual mandate to promote maximum employment a...

2

Barry Ritholtz Hits it Out of the Park | Economic Darwinism

https://economicdarwinism.wordpress.com/2009/06/28/barry-ritholtz-hits-it-out-of-the-park

Skip to search - Accesskey = s. Barry Ritholtz Hits it Out of the Park. By Economic Darwinism on June 28, 2009. If President Obama reads one interview this year on the financial crisis, it should be, without a doubt, this interview Barry Ritholtz did for Welling@Weeden. Fix What’s Broken. Barry Ritholtz Takes Aim at What the Regulatory Proposal Leaves Out. Laquo; Letter to Obama: Appoint Blinder to Fed, Summers to Treasury. Testimony of Chairman Ben S. Bernanke: July 18, 2007. Leave a Reply Cancel reply.

3

Letter to Obama: Appoint Blinder to Fed, Summers to Treasury | Economic Darwinism

https://economicdarwinism.wordpress.com/2009/06/25/letter-to-obama-appoint-blinder-to-fed-summers-to-treasury

Skip to search - Accesskey = s. Letter to Obama: Appoint Blinder to Fed, Summers to Treasury. Posted in Alan Blinder. By Economic Darwinism on June 25, 2009. It didn’t take a crystal ball to see that the jockeying for who will be the next Fed Chairman would begin to heat up. On June 15. For Blinder on June 16. He is the only sensible choice. Now it seems to be within the realm of possibility that Geithner and Bernanke are both in jeopardy. President Obama, here is what you need to do. Is waning quickly a...

4

Blinder not Receiving Enough Credit for “Cash for Clunkers” | Economic Darwinism

https://economicdarwinism.wordpress.com/2009/08/08/blinder-not-receiving-enough-credit-for-cash-for-clunkers

Skip to search - Accesskey = s. Blinder not Receiving Enough Credit for “Cash for Clunkers”. Posted in Alan Blinder. By Economic Darwinism on August 8, 2009. The campaign for who will be the next Fed chairman is now well under way. The front runners are Bernanke, Summers, and Yellen with an occasional nod to Blinder. In my opnion, we should immediately cross off the first two. The choice is really between Yellen and Blinder. What has Yellen done recently? Laquo; Geithner Admits Treasury is a Ponzi Scheme.

5

Prescribed Fire Economics | Economic Darwinism

https://economicdarwinism.wordpress.com/2010/08/14/prescribed-fire-economics

Skip to search - Accesskey = s. By Economic Darwinism on August 14, 2010. I enjoyed Market Talks quote of the day. I wish free money was really free and that there was a painless way to move from severe recession and high leverage to robust and sustainable economic growth, but there is no short cut. 8211; Kansas City Fed President Thomas Hoenig, arguing. The Fed needs to raise interest rates. The analogy I like to use is a technique often used in forest management, i.e prescribed burns. The forest floor ...

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Fun with maximum likelihood estimation | Phorgy Phynance

https://phorgyphynance.wordpress.com/2011/01/02/fun-with-maximum-likelihood-estimation

Fun with maximum likelihood estimation. The following is a fun little exercise that most statistics students have probably worked out as a homework assignment at some point, but since I have found myself rederiving it a few times over the years, I decided to write this post for the record to save me some time the next time this comes up. Given a probability density. We can approximate the probability of a sample falling within a region. Similarly, the probability of observing. January 2, 2011 at 10:56 pm.

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80 Years of Daily S&P 500 Value-at-Risk Estimates | Phorgy Phynance

https://phorgyphynance.wordpress.com/2009/08/06/80-years-of-daily-sp-500-value-at-risk-estimates

80 Years of Daily S&P 500 Value-at-Risk Estimates. And the last 10 years…. Felix has updated his post. With a link to my charts above, but makes some comments that I thought I should address. Also keep in mind that although risk appears to have decreased since the beginning of the year, it is still at extremely high levels. We would have to go back to 1934 to see comparable risk levels, so it is no time to become complacent. August 6, 2009 at 6:32 am. Laquo; Barclays quants error on leveraged ETFs. I hop...

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Physics of Wireless Broadband | Phorgy Phynance

https://phorgyphynance.wordpress.com/2009/12/30/physics-of-wireless-broadband

Physics of Wireless Broadband. With a title like the one I’ve chosen, I’m sure only the die hards will get even this far, so this post will be a somewhat technical follow-up to my informal post. Yesterday that was picked up by Felix Salmon. And also noted by Paul Krugman. I had fun building large-scale simulations where I modeled the propagation of radio waves transmitted from a cell phone through a 1 cubic millimeter resolution model of a human head. SAR distributions for the sagittal slice. That is why...

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The Ultimate Wireless Broadband Speed Limit | Phorgy Phynance

https://phorgyphynance.wordpress.com/2009/12/31/the-ultimate-wireless-broadband-speed-limit

The Ultimate Wireless Broadband Speed Limit. This is a follow-up to my previous posts. Physics of Wireless Broadband. As well as some of the comments those posts generated. First of all, I was pleased that loganb. Comment on 12/29, 9:27 PM EST) brought Shannon into the picture because information theory is important. As Rod pointed out. Instead, we want to think of a region of space containing multiple wireless broadband devices. What is the maximum “density of information” available in t...For example, ...

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60 GHz Wireless – A Reality Check | Phorgy Phynance

https://phorgyphynance.wordpress.com/2013/01/21/60-ghz-wireless-a-reality-check

60 GHz Wireless – A Reality Check. The wireless revolution has been fascinating to watch. Radio (and micro) waves are transforming the way we live our lives. However, I’m increasingly seeing indications the hype may be getting ahead of itself and we’re beginning to have inflated expectations (c/o the hype cycle. About wireless broadband. In this post, I’d like to revisit some of my prior posts on the subject in light of something that has recently come to my attention: 60 GHz wireless. Regardless of wher...

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Weighted Likelihood for Time-Varying Gaussian Parameter Estimation | Phorgy Phynance

https://phorgyphynance.wordpress.com/2013/02/03/weighted-likelihood-for-time-varying-gaussian-parameter-estimation

Weighted Likelihood for Time-Varying Gaussian Parameter Estimation. Leave a comment ». In a previous article. We presented a weighted likelihood technique for estimating parameters. Of a probability density function. The motivation being that for time series, we may wish to weigh more recent data more heavily. In this article, we will apply the technique to a simple Gaussian density. In this case, the log likelihood is given by. That the maximum likelihood occurs when. February 3, 2013 at 4:33 pm. Create...

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More fun with maximum likelihood estimation | Phorgy Phynance

https://phorgyphynance.wordpress.com/2012/10/20/more-fun-with-maximum-likelihood-estimation

More fun with maximum likelihood estimation. A while ago, I wrote a post. Fun with maximum likelihood estimation. Where I jotted down some notes. I ended the post with the following:. Note: The first time I worked through this exercise, I thought it was cute, but I would never compute. As above so the maximum likelihood estimation, as presented, is not meaningful to me. Hence, this is just a warm up for what comes next. Stay tuned…. To briefly review, the probability of observing. May be approximated by.

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Leveraged ETFs: Selling vs Hedging | Phorgy Phynance

https://phorgyphynance.wordpress.com/2012/10/02/leveraged-etfs-selling-vs-hedging

Leveraged ETFs: Selling vs Hedging. Leave a comment ». In this brief note, we’ll compare two similar leveraged ETF strategies. We begin by assuming a portfolio consists of an. Times leveraged bull ETF with daily return given by. Is the fee charged by the manager and some cash equivalent with daily return. The daily portfolio return is given by. We wish to reduce our exposure to the index. And the weight of cash increases by. The daily portfolio return is then. The daily return of this strategy is. Laquo;...

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Zero Hedge: Exclusive: AIG Was Responsible For The Banks' January & February Profitability

http://zerohedge.blogspot.com/2009/03/exclusive-aig-was-responsible-for-banks.html

ON A LONG ENOUGH TIMELINE, THE SURVIVAL RATE FOR EVERYONE DROPS TO ZERO". Sunday, March 29, 2009. Exclusive: AIG Was Responsible For The Banks' January and February Profitability. Posted by Tyler Durden. I present the insider perspective of trader Lou (who wishes to remain anonymous) in its entirety:. Main products they took on were always levered credit risk, credit-linked notes (collateral and CDS both had to be at least AA-, no joint probability stuff) and AAA or super senior portfolio swaps. Port...

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Tuesday, July 6, 2010. Who Has Received BP's Claims' Payments. Amy Schoenfeld, in a "Metrics" column. In Sunday's New York Times,. Analyzes BP's payments as of July 2:. Has now begun reimbursing businesses that rely on the gulf for their revenue. Since May, it has paid just under a third of the more than 90,000 claims it has received, with the checks totaling more than $144 million. Last month, BP promised to set aside $20 billion. Included in her article is the following graphic:. Frank D. Jefferis.

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Economic Darwinism | On the origin of crises by unnatural selection

Skip to search - Accesskey = s. Natural History of Fire and Flood Cycles. By Economic Darwinism on August 14, 2010. In reference to the analogies presented in my previous article. Please have a look at this article:. Natural History of Fire and Flood Cycles. While reading it, replace. 8220;forest fire” with “recession”. 8220;fire cycle” with “business cycle”. 8220;ecosystem” with “economy”. 8220;fire suppression” with “stimulus”. Minnich (1983) comparing the chaparral fire regimes in southern California ...

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