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Friday, February 13, 2009. Negative Equilibrium Real Interest Rates and You. The period from 1983 until a year ago featured some of the most spectacular returns on investment ever seen. With some hiccups in each, almost every asset class, from Treasuries to stocks to real estate to commodities to corporate debt did very well. So to what can we ascribe these tremendous gains to which we all became accustomed? Most likely, to a nearly monotonic decline in real interest rates. Commodity prices will soar.

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Friday, February 13, 2009. Negative Equilibrium Real Interest Rates and You. The period from 1983 until a year ago featured some of the most spectacular returns on investment ever seen. With some hiccups in each, almost every asset class, from Treasuries to stocks to real estate to commodities to corporate debt did very well. So to what can we ascribe these tremendous gains to which we all became accustomed? Most likely, to a nearly monotonic decline in real interest rates. Commodity prices will soar.

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5 to rise dramatically

6 not necessarily

7 inflation rate

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9 real interest rate

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ndk's notepad | ndknotepad.blogspot.com Reviews

https://ndknotepad.blogspot.com

Friday, February 13, 2009. Negative Equilibrium Real Interest Rates and You. The period from 1983 until a year ago featured some of the most spectacular returns on investment ever seen. With some hiccups in each, almost every asset class, from Treasuries to stocks to real estate to commodities to corporate debt did very well. So to what can we ascribe these tremendous gains to which we all became accustomed? Most likely, to a nearly monotonic decline in real interest rates. Commodity prices will soar.

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ndknotepad.blogspot.com

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ndk's notepad: February 2009

http://ndknotepad.blogspot.com/2009_02_01_archive.html

Friday, February 13, 2009. Negative Equilibrium Real Interest Rates and You. The period from 1983 until a year ago featured some of the most spectacular returns on investment ever seen. With some hiccups in each, almost every asset class, from Treasuries to stocks to real estate to commodities to corporate debt did very well. So to what can we ascribe these tremendous gains to which we all became accustomed? Most likely, to a nearly monotonic decline in real interest rates. Commodity prices will soar.

2

ndk's notepad: January 2009

http://ndknotepad.blogspot.com/2009_01_01_archive.html

Wednesday, January 28, 2009. On Debt to GDP. Hat tip S) has put out a piece describing the massive levels of debt outstanding in major economies and the options available to them in resolving that debt overhang. What does debt to GDP really mean, though? But there are likely very important structural changes when debt to GDP increases. It generally coincides with financial deepening. Financial Deepening and Stability. Well-developed financial systems are tightly interwoven. Interest rates, risk prefe...

3

ndk's notepad: On Debt to GDP

http://ndknotepad.blogspot.com/2009/01/on-debt-to-gdp.html

Wednesday, January 28, 2009. On Debt to GDP. Hat tip S) has put out a piece describing the massive levels of debt outstanding in major economies and the options available to them in resolving that debt overhang. What does debt to GDP really mean, though? But there are likely very important structural changes when debt to GDP increases. It generally coincides with financial deepening. Financial Deepening and Stability. Well-developed financial systems are tightly interwoven. Interest rates, risk prefe...

4

ndk's notepad: Financial Evolution and Zombies

http://ndknotepad.blogspot.com/2009/01/financial-evolution-and-zombies.html

Monday, January 19, 2009. Financial Evolution and Zombies. Bailouts affect more than simply the company being rescued. They also have an impact on the economy as a whole, particularly on the sector in which the new zombie lives. What are the macro effects of our new undead friends? I'm not sure whether the concept is raised elsewhere - and would appreciate better-read readers informing me here - but I'm fond of an idea I call financial evolution. I think it lies outside Minsky's work. At the end of a ...

5

ndk's notepad: The US Can't Unilaterally Inflate

http://ndknotepad.blogspot.com/2009/01/us-cant-unilaterally-inflate.html

Friday, January 9, 2009. The US Can't Unilaterally Inflate. Many people are either worried that all the excessive money creation and bailouts will create inflation, or hope that the Fed will create the necessary inflation to gradually reduce the burden debtors face. There is little chance either will come to pass right now. There are many countries that peg their currencies to the dollar in some form. 160;and it probably doesn't present a severe threat to either economy. Far higher than anything seen bef...

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ndknotepad.blogspot.com

ndk's notepad

Friday, February 13, 2009. Negative Equilibrium Real Interest Rates and You. The period from 1983 until a year ago featured some of the most spectacular returns on investment ever seen. With some hiccups in each, almost every asset class, from Treasuries to stocks to real estate to commodities to corporate debt did very well. So to what can we ascribe these tremendous gains to which we all became accustomed? Most likely, to a nearly monotonic decline in real interest rates. Commodity prices will soar.

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