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paulfchristiano | Ordinary Ideas
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Driving fast in the counterfactual loop. November 30, 2015. Consider a human controlling a very fast car on a busy street using counterfactual oversight. The car is perfectly capable of driving safely. But what happens in the 1% of cases where the car decides to pause and ask the human to review its proposed behavior, or to suggest an action? Without some further precautions, the car is liable to immediately crash, and so the human won’t be able to provide any useful oversight at all. And. This leads to ...
December | 2012 | Ordinary Ideas
https://ordinaryideas.wordpress.com/2012/12
Monthly Archives: December 2012. Improbable simple hypotheses are unbelievable. December 11, 2012. Intuitively, it seems that any simple hypothesis should receive a reasonable prior probability. It seems unreasonable to assign a simple hypothesis a ridiculously low probability. In some sense this is a matter of preference, but here I’ll briefly argue:. If H is a simple hypothesis and the prior probability of H is very small, then there is nothing you could possibly see which would convince you of H.
January | 2013 | Ordinary Ideas
https://ordinaryideas.wordpress.com/2013/01
Monthly Archives: January 2013. Some rambling AI prognostication. January 22, 2013. Anyway, in that spirit, here. Is some of my thinking about AI—an outline of the development scenario I consider most likely, and a general discussion of the impacts of consequentialist automation. Criticism is welcome, and you can leave comments on the (quite hard-to-navigate) google doc here. Driving fast in the counterfactual loop. Two kinds of generalization. Extortion, simulation, and supervision.
Specifying a human precisely (reprise) | Ordinary Ideas
https://ordinaryideas.wordpress.com/2014/08/24/specifying-a-human-precisely-reprise
Specifying a human precisely (reprise). August 24, 2014. Suppose I want to provide a completely precise specification of “me,” or rather of the input/output behavior that I implement. How can I do this? I might be interested in this problem, for example, because it appears to be a primary difficulty in providing a precise specification of “maximize the extent to which I would approve of your decision upon reflection.” (I have suggested. I have written about this issue in the past. A note on induction.
Challenges for extrapolation | Ordinary Ideas
https://ordinaryideas.wordpress.com/2014/08/27/challenges-for-extrapolation
August 27, 2014. My current preferred formalization. Of extrapolation of an agent’s preferences rests on imagining what would happen if that agent was provided with an idealized environment in which it could undergo an extensive process of reflection. It is clear that this is not a completely satisfactory account, though there is uncertainty about whether it is “good enough” for the intended use case. One crisp difficulty is the following: this approach relies completely on the agent. The point of this q...
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Seeing into the True Nature: reason #21,066 reason to distrust all scientific studies
http://grognor.blogspot.com/2016/12/reason-21066-reason-to-distrust-all.html
Seeing into the True Nature. Reason #21,066 reason to distrust all scientific studies. Originally posted November 21, 2016. I see a lot of people claiming that jobs are good for people, because jobs give life more meaning. They point to studies "showing" that people are happier when employed than unemployed, even when "controlling" for just giving people money. Needless to say I haven't read any of these, because I am not in the habit of filling my brain with motivated bullshit. Now first of all, really?
Seeing into the True Nature: Mindlists
http://grognor.blogspot.com/2016/12/mindlists.html
Seeing into the True Nature. Originally published July 12, 2016. Lists are really, really appealing for some reason, perhaps because they are so simple and orderly and thus memorable. Peter McIntyre wrote an article (listicle, is the pejorative) called 52 Concepts to Add to Your Cognitive Toolkit. No such listicle could ever be complete, and to my reckoning the most important omissions are:. Use vs. mention distinction. Belief vs. alief. Signal to noise ratio. The tails come apart. The 'vocabulary' metap...
Seeing into the True Nature: My Weirdest Ethical Belief
http://grognor.blogspot.com/2016/12/my-weirdest-ethical-belief.html
Seeing into the True Nature. My Weirdest Ethical Belief. Originally published June 25, 2016. Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom). Metamoxie. see also here. The thought to which all thoughts eventually retur. Reason #21,066 reason to distrust all scientific s. Conflation vs. Erroneous Splitting. My Weirdest Ethical Belief. Three Old School Epistemic Essays. A hundred petty preferences. ten thousand unimport. Missing Vocabulary I: sweeping under the rug. Why do you even think that. Its Not a Telephone Game.
Seeing into the True Nature: the thought to which all thoughts eventually return, as if it were the bottom of the cognitive bowl
http://grognor.blogspot.com/2016/12/the-thought-to-which-all-thoughts.html
Seeing into the True Nature. The thought to which all thoughts eventually return, as if it were the bottom of the cognitive bowl. See also: The Monster. How is so weak and imperfect a creature as individual man, isolated and wretched, shorn from community, ejected from egregore and unable to assimilate, supposed to make the world a better place? December 18, 2016 at 7:52 PM. Acceptance before change is possible is a theme that pops up again and again in my travels through psychotherapy, phenomenology, an...
Seeing into the True Nature: Umeshism
http://grognor.blogspot.com/2016/12/umeshism.html
Seeing into the True Nature. Originally posted October 23, 2016. You should probably read Scott Aaronson's post Umeshisms. Before reading this post. Concentrate on the higher-order bits. Back in the day, this sentence took me a long time to understand, and nobody would explain it when I asked, so this is what it means:. Look at the following number: 1. 2,345,67 8. As an aside, you might consider something like? 12345678, in order to think a little more scope-sensitively. Answer at end of post. Where peop...
Seeing into the True Nature: Superstitions as Evolved Objects
http://grognor.blogspot.com/2017/01/superstitions-as-evolved-objects.html
Seeing into the True Nature. Superstitions as Evolved Objects. It's common to mock superstitions to display one's Skeptic. Cred, but it's a mistake, because they are Chesterton fences. It's bad luck to walk under a ladder. No, okay, it's not "bad luck", but ladders are dangerous. Seven years of bad luck for breaking a mirror. Not really sure about this one but who wants broken mirrors? Mirrors are probably pretty hard to make. My hope with this article is that it produces a Baader-Meinhof effect. Subscri...
Seeing into the True Nature: Conflation vs. Erroneous Splitting
http://grognor.blogspot.com/2016/12/conflation-vs-erroneous-splitting.html
Seeing into the True Nature. Conflation vs. Erroneous Splitting. Originally published July 11, 2016. Consider these four situations:. Conflating two things. Conflation is the mistake of thinking that two or more things are the same thing. Incorrectly splitting one thing into two things. This is the mistake of thinking that one thing is two or more things. Correctly identifying that two things are the same thing. Correctly distinguishing two things that used to be thought of as one thing. I co-wrote, I've...
Seeing into the True Nature: Ergonomics
http://grognor.blogspot.com/2016/12/ergonomics.html
Seeing into the True Nature. Originally posted October 24, 2016. Look at these fucking buttons:. I have to hit these buttons many times per day, always with the same overworked left thumb. They are terrible buttons and I have a mild repetitive strain injury. Does anyone other than video game console manufacturers? Look at this beautiful goddamn artifact:. Which popularized the useful concept of affordance. Hopefully I can at least listen to the audiobook some day. I play video games on my prematurely agi...
Seeing into the True Nature: Scavenging
http://grognor.blogspot.com/2016/12/scavenging.html
Seeing into the True Nature. Originally published April 3, 2016. I've been homeless and unemployed for a long time. So I started scavenging out of necessity. But I would keep doing it even if I had were employed and dignified, to save money and prevent waste. It's smart and cool, like all forms of frugality. When you're a veg*n. My original idea for this post also included some guidelines for what discarded foods are good and what are bad, with the obligatory "your health is your responsibility, not mine...
Seeing into the True Nature: January 2017
http://grognor.blogspot.com/2017_01_01_archive.html
Seeing into the True Nature. Superstitions as Evolved Objects. It's common to mock superstitions to display one's Skeptic. Cred, but it's a mistake, because they are Chesterton fences. It's bad luck to walk under a ladder. No, okay, it's not "bad luck", but ladders are dangerous. Seven years of bad luck for breaking a mirror. Not really sure about this one but who wants broken mirrors? Mirrors are probably pretty hard to make. My hope with this article is that it produces a Baader-Meinhof effect. Metamox...
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ordinaryhumansays.wordpress.com
Ordinary Human Says | il ne y a pas le parfait personne. la perfection n'est que eu le Dieu
Lewat menuju konten utama. Skip to primary sidebar. Skip to secondary sidebar. Il ne y a pas le parfait personne. la perfection n'est que eu le Dieu. Seri-2a Bootstrap: Semudah Apa Bootstrap? Akan Membuat apa sih. Materi dan source code bisa anda dapatkan di. Http:/ ilmukomputer.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/irul-seri2a-bootstrap.zip. Saya memberikan sedikit contoh kasus cara menyusun tampilan pada gambar berikut ini. Read the rest of this entry →. Ditulis dalam HTML dan CSS. Dikutip dari websitenya get...
The Footprints in my Life . . .
Monday, July 8, 2013. Sometimes I do wonder. What brothers are for. I can only see the way how we all enjoy together. And had a wonderful past together. But for now. I feel there is something missing in between us. May be you guys never realise about this. May be you guys never feel the impact like I do. We're going to break apart . Not sure when will we be gather together again. But one thing for sure. Hope that one day when we all meet again we will still be as friend as we are. Sunday, June 30, 2013.
Homeworks
Sunday, May 1, 2016. Oh my gosh just oh my gosh. HOW MANY YEARS HAVE PASSED SINCE I LAST BLOGGED ITS BEEN 3 YEARS. and i'm cringing now because of the way i was typing and how childish i was omg hahaha xD! Everyone has been once there before. Omg it's cool how i seen some affies still continue blogging even after i (unintentionally) 'quit' :O makes me wanna do it again! I'm not sure but are people still blogging nowadays? Please tell me there's still a person from that 'era'! Saturday, August 3, 2013.
:: I.b.t.i.$.a.m ::
TinGgal jEjaK yer, JgN luper :. TinGgalkn jEjaK yer, JgN luper. 160;si comey sdg skodeng blog sayer. Tuesday, January 7, 2014. 2nd GIVEAWAY by Handbouquet-Ibtisam. Assalamualaikum W.B.T. Sempena tahun baru ni. Ciktie ingin buat 2nd giveaway. 1) LIKE page HandBouquet-Ibtisam. 2) LIKE pic ini gambar GIVEAWAY. 3) SHARE pada wall anda and publickan supaya ciktie senang cek. 4) COMMENT pada gambar giveaway tersebut "Done, Nama penuh dan tarikh majlis". 5) Tunggu, Doa and Tawakal moga ada rezeki kalian. Sebara...
ordinaryidealist.wordpress.com
An Ordinary Idealist | An Ordinary Person, with an Idealistic nature, sharing thoughts about stuff. I don’t have any real idea about what this blog is, or should be, or will be, but over time, I’m hoping to work it out. To begin with, I’m just going to be
An Ordinary Person, with an Idealistic nature, sharing thoughts about stuff. I don’t have any real idea about what this blog is, or should be, or will be, but over time, I’m hoping to work it out. To begin with, I’m just going to be as honest as I can about things, and who knows, eventually this may become Something Worth Reading Regularly. An Afternoon in Costa Coffee. Entry 23: September 2nd, 2016 (Week 19). September 5, 2016. Read Article →. Entry 22: August 22nd, 2016 (Week 18). August 25, 2016.
Ordinary Ideas | As advertised
December 30, 2014. I’ve recently spent some more time thinking about speculative issues in AI safety:. Ideas for building useful agents without goals: approval-directed agents. And optimization and goals. I think this line of reasoning is very promising. A formalization of one piece of the AI safety challenge: the steering problem. Some ideas for getting useful work out of self-interested agents, based on arguments: of arguments and wagers. Older], and delegating to a mixed crowd. Continue reading →.
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ordinaryimages
Black and white photography from kentucky. Monday, August 17, 2015. Monday Muse - Fujifilm X100t. My Ricoh GR was recently sold and replaced with the Fujifilm X100t as the dedicated street shooter. The OVF and functional dials and buttons are combined into a small, rugged,. Lightweight camera that is a joy to use. Focus MODE: Manual - Use AF/AE lock to obtain focus. View Mode: Viewfinder Only. Drive Mode: Still Image. Menu Items: [after turning everything possible to OFF ; ]. Sunday, August 16, 2015.
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