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AlphaBetaWorks Insights – Investment Risk Management, Skill Evaluation, and Predictive Performance Analytics

Investment Risk Management, Skill Evaluation, and Predictive Performance Analytics

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Mil●●●rae , California, 94030

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gr●●●@alphabetaworks.com

View this contact

Alpha Beta Analytics, LLC

Grigori Kapoustin

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Mil●●●rae , California, 94030

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gr●●●@alphabetaworks.com

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AlphaBetaWorks Insights – Investment Risk Management, Skill Evaluation, and Predictive Performance Analytics | abwinsights.com Reviews
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Investment Risk Management, Skill Evaluation, and Predictive Performance Analytics
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AlphaBetaWorks Insights – Investment Risk Management, Skill Evaluation, and Predictive Performance Analytics | abwinsights.com Reviews

https://abwinsights.com

Investment Risk Management, Skill Evaluation, and Predictive Performance Analytics

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1

hedge funds Archives – AlphaBetaWorks Insights

http://abwinsights.com/tag/hedge-funds

Investment Risk Management, Skill Evaluation, and Predictive Performance Analytics. Tag Archives: hedge funds. Hedge Fund Finance Sector Crowding. Asset outflows and portfolio liquidations have. Devastated crowded hedge fund bets. Identifying Hedge Fund Finance Crowding. We created an aggregate position-weighted portfolio (. Hedge Fund Finance Aggregate, or HF Finance Aggregate. Consisting of finance sector equities held by all hedge fund long equity portfolios that are. Over the past 10 years HF Finance...

2

αReturn Archives – AlphaBetaWorks Insights

http://abwinsights.com/tag/αreturn

Investment Risk Management, Skill Evaluation, and Predictive Performance Analytics. Performance Persistence within International Style Boxes. We earlier discussed how nominal returns and related investment performance metrics revert. Since portfolio performance primarily comes from systematic (factor) exposures. Model, performance persists within all U.S. equity Style Boxes. Prompted by reader interest, we now investigate performance persistence within International Style Boxes. The Reversion of Internat...

3

Hedge Fund Mean Reversion – AlphaBetaWorks Insights

http://abwinsights.com/2015/04/11/hedge-fund-mean-reversion

Investment Risk Management, Skill Evaluation, and Predictive Performance Analytics. Hedge Fund Mean Reversion. Our earlier articles explored. Hedge fund survivor (survivorship) bias. Large fund survivor bias. Hedge fund mean reversion. A special case of. Reversion toward the mean. Here we explore this phenomenon and its mitigation. We follow the approach of our earlier pieces that analyzed hedge funds’ long U.S. equity portfolios. Mean Reversion of Nominal Hedge Fund Returns. If strong historical perform...

4

win/loss ratio Archives – AlphaBetaWorks Insights

http://abwinsights.com/tag/winloss-ratio

Investment Risk Management, Skill Evaluation, and Predictive Performance Analytics. Tag Archives: win/loss ratio. The Impact of Fund Mean Reversion. Real-world restrictions on hedge fund investing wreak havoc on common allocation strategies. Common return measures fail to predict future hedge fund. Performance. More important, under typical allocation and withdrawal constraints, these failures due to. Portfolios based on top. Portfolios based on top. Continue to consistently outperform. One contains the ...

5

Skill Archives – AlphaBetaWorks Insights

http://abwinsights.com/category/skill

Investment Risk Management, Skill Evaluation, and Predictive Performance Analytics. Hedge Fund Crowding Update Q1 2016. Analyses of hedge fund crowding typically focus on hedge funds’ individual positions (their. Or stock-specific exposures). Yet,. Over 85% of the monthly return variance for the majority of hedge fund long equity portfolios is due to their factor (systematic) exposures. Identifying Hedge Fund Crowding. This piece follows the approach of our earlier articles on crowding. The Q1 2016 HF Ag...

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Hedge Fund Industrials Factor Timing – AlphaBetaWorks Charts

http://abwcharts.com/2015/07/19/hedge-fund-industrials-factor-timing

Investment Risk Management, Skill Evaluation, and Predictive Performance Analytics. Hedge Fund Industrials Factor Timing. We discussed the largest bets hedge fund long portfolios were making in Q1 2015. The third largest was on the Industrials Factor. This is the risk specific to the industrials sector after controlling for market exposure. It captures capital allocation to industrials and sensitivity (. At the end of Q1 2015, high. Was the third largest source of U.S. hedge funds’ long portfolio. Perfor...

abwcharts.com abwcharts.com

Top Energy Hedge Funds’ Trades – AlphaBetaWorks Charts

http://abwcharts.com/2015/03/04/top-energy-hedge-funds-trades

Investment Risk Management, Skill Evaluation, and Predictive Performance Analytics. Top Energy Hedge Funds’ Trades. Energy investments have struggled in recent months. Crowded hedge fund energy bets have done especially poorly. In this piece, we explore the overall hedge fund energy performance and the results of the top stock pickers in the Oil and Gas Production, Integrated Oil, and Oilfield Services Sectors. Top Energy Hedge Funds. The hedge fund industry has a poor record in the Energy Sector. Over t...

abwcharts.com abwcharts.com

energy Archives – AlphaBetaWorks Charts

http://abwcharts.com/tag/energy

Investment Risk Management, Skill Evaluation, and Predictive Performance Analytics. Top Energy Hedge Funds’ Trades. Energy investments have struggled in recent months. Crowded hedge fund energy bets have done especially poorly. In this piece, we explore the overall hedge fund energy performance and the results of the top stock pickers in the Oil and Gas Production, Integrated Oil, and Oilfield Services Sectors. Top Energy Hedge Funds. The hedge fund industry has a poor record in the Energy Sector. Over t...

abwcharts.com abwcharts.com

stock picking Archives – AlphaBetaWorks Charts

http://abwcharts.com/tag/stock-picking

Investment Risk Management, Skill Evaluation, and Predictive Performance Analytics. Tag Archives: stock picking. Top Energy Hedge Funds’ Trades. Energy investments have struggled in recent months. Crowded hedge fund energy bets have done especially poorly. In this piece, we explore the overall hedge fund energy performance and the results of the top stock pickers in the Oil and Gas Production, Integrated Oil, and Oilfield Services Sectors. Top Energy Hedge Funds. Over the past three years, the peer group...

causalcapital.blogspot.com causalcapital.blogspot.com

Causal Capital: Why 5000 iterations in Monte Carlo

http://causalcapital.blogspot.com/2014/06/why-5000-iterations-in-monte-carlo.html

Risk Dashboards should serve the stakeholder". Monday, June 16, 2014. Why 5000 iterations in Monte Carlo. For those risk analysts out there using Monte Carlo in their analysis, have you ever wondered why the industry standard for simulation sample sizes in Monte Carlo is set at five thousand iterations? So many Monte Carlo systems I see in use today run a standard five thousand simulations but why five thousand, why not ten thousand, why not five thousand and one? The Test Method Martin Davies. In a spre...

causalcapital.blogspot.com causalcapital.blogspot.com

Causal Capital: Unraveling Extreme Value Theory

http://causalcapital.blogspot.com/2014/08/unraveling-extreme-value-theory.html

Risk Dashboards should serve the stakeholder". Wednesday, August 6, 2014. Unraveling Extreme Value Theory. An interesting request came through from one of our customers today and is worth sharing on the Causal Capital blog because a lot of risk practitioners struggle with some of the more complex areas of modelling uncertainty. This is especially the case when risk managers are attempting to assess the size of impacts from catastrophes. A quick run through of the slides to add context Martin Davies.

causalcapital.blogspot.com causalcapital.blogspot.com

Causal Capital: Pillar III Reports go through a makeover

http://causalcapital.blogspot.com/2015/02/pillar-iii-reports-go-through-makeover.html

Risk Dashboards should serve the stakeholder". Wednesday, February 18, 2015. Pillar III Reports go through a makeover. The bank for International Settlements has been very busy over the last few months publishing amendments to both Basel II and Basel III, and it was only a matter of time before Pillar III was swung in for a similar maker over. New Pillar III Requirements. A few days ago the Bank for International Settlements released a revised pillar 3 disclosure requirements standard [ LINK. There is al...

causalcapital.blogspot.com causalcapital.blogspot.com

Causal Capital: New Capital Calculations for Basel II Op Risk

http://causalcapital.blogspot.com/2014/12/new-capital-calculations-for-basel-ii.html

Risk Dashboards should serve the stakeholder". Monday, December 22, 2014. New Capital Calculations for Basel II Op Risk. Basel II Op Risk Flaws. There are several changes being proposed for bank's operational risk teams that are going to impact a lot of the institutions in the emerging markets. I will take to list these changes below:. Firstly the Basic Indicator approach is going to be retired . In the current operational risk regulatory framework, adoption of the TSA/ASA is subject to supervisory appro...

causalcapital.blogspot.com causalcapital.blogspot.com

Causal Capital: The Near Miss

http://causalcapital.blogspot.com/2014/07/the-near-miss.html

Risk Dashboards should serve the stakeholder". Monday, July 7, 2014. In section 2.17 of the ISO 31000 standard, an event without consequences but an event all the same can be classified as a "near miss", "near hit" or "close call". Yesterday morning at Barcelona airport did such an event take place? The inbound aircraft is a Boeing 767-300 from Moscow which aborted its landing when an Airbus A340 crossed the runway. The disaster from runway collisions has. July 6 Boeing 767 Near Miss at Barcelona Airport.

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AlphaBetaWorks Insights – Investment Risk Management, Skill Evaluation, and Predictive Performance Analytics

Investment Risk Management, Skill Evaluation, and Predictive Performance Analytics. The Impact of Fund Mean Reversion. Real-world restrictions on hedge fund investing wreak havoc on common allocation strategies. Common return measures fail to predict future hedge fund. Performance. More important, under typical allocation and withdrawal constraints, these failures due to. Portfolios based on top. Portfolios based on top. Continue to consistently outperform. Hedge Fund Selection Using Nominal Returns.

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Investment Risk Management, Skill Evaluation, and Predictive Performance Analytics. Liquidation of Crowded Hedge Fund Energy Positions. The 2014-2015 energy carnage has been worse for crowded hedge fund energy positions than the global financial crisis. Past liquidations of crowded hedge fund bets were followed by rapid recoveries. Consequently, energy investors should survey the wreckage for opportunities. Performance of Crowded Hedge Fund Oil and Gas Producer Bets. The figure below plots historical ret...

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