socialelectionprediction.wordpress.com
The (Local) General Election on Twitter | Can social data be used to predict elections?
https://socialelectionprediction.wordpress.com/2015/05/12/the-local-general-election-on-twitter
Can social data be used to predict elections? The (Local) General Election on Twitter. In a previous post. Taha Yasseri and Stefano de Sabbata looked at the distribution of candidate accounts on Twitter, based on data from YourNextMP. Level of candidate activity on Twitter. Compared to the map which Taha and Stefano produced on account distribution. Candidate activity on Twitter by party. The histogram above show more detail about the level of twitter activity and how it breaks down between different par...
socialelectionprediction.wordpress.com
Eve Ahearn | Can social data be used to predict elections?
https://socialelectionprediction.wordpress.com/author/eveahe
Can social data be used to predict elections? Author Archives: Eve Ahearn. Not Just #GE2015: Other 2015 Polling Failures. The failure of pollsters in #GE2015 was covered widely, including in a previous post here. But it was not the only opinion polling failure that year. Polls also failed to predict results by wide margins in the national elections in Israel and Poland. Had predicted that Alfred Landon would win by a landslide. Unlike Gallup, The Literary Digest. It wasn’t a good night for Israel’s polls...
socialelectionprediction.wordpress.com
GE2015: Polling Problems vs. Information Seeking Biases | Can social data be used to predict elections?
https://socialelectionprediction.wordpress.com/2015/05/31/ge2015-polling-problems-vs-information-seeking-biases
Can social data be used to predict elections? GE2015: Polling Problems vs. Information Seeking Biases. In contrast, the Social Election Prediction Project focuses on predicting elections from online information seeking behavior such as search trends, a source with its own set of biases. How do the the biases of this method compare to the issues with the polls leading up to the election? Problems with Traditional Polling. A few ideas…. Because the polls report percentages, not seats. Peter Kellner, the Pr...
socialelectionprediction.wordpress.com
Not Just #GE2015: Other 2015 Polling Failures | Can social data be used to predict elections?
https://socialelectionprediction.wordpress.com/2015/07/21/not-just-ge2015-other-2015-polling-failures
Can social data be used to predict elections? Not Just #GE2015: Other 2015 Polling Failures. The failure of pollsters in #GE2015 was covered widely, including in a previous post here. But it was not the only opinion polling failure that year. Polls also failed to predict results by wide margins in the national elections in Israel and Poland. Had predicted that Alfred Landon would win by a landslide. Unlike Gallup, The Literary Digest. Israel and the Surprise Reelection of Binyamin Netanyahu. It wasn’t a ...
socialelectionprediction.wordpress.com
Social Media + Elections: A Recap | Can social data be used to predict elections?
https://socialelectionprediction.wordpress.com/2015/05/12/social-media-elections-a-recap
Can social data be used to predict elections? Social Media Elections: A Recap. From Jonathan Bright and Scott Hale’s blog post on Twitter Use. In the run-up to the general election we conducted a number of investigations into relative candidate and party use of social media and other online platforms. The site elections.oii.ox.ac.uk. Has served as our hub for elections-related data analysis. There is much to look over, but this blog post can guide you through. 8220; What if mentions were votes? Could soc...
socialelectionprediction.wordpress.com
Online presence of the General Election Candidates: Labour wins Twitter while Tories take Wikipedia | Can social data be used to predict elections?
https://socialelectionprediction.wordpress.com/2015/05/03/online-presence-of-the-general-election-candidates-labour-wins-twitter-while-tories-take-wikipedia
Can social data be used to predict elections? Online presence of the General Election Candidates: Labour wins Twitter while Tories take Wikipedia. Some have called the forthcoming UK general election a Social Media Election. It might be a bit of exaggeration, but there is no doubt that both candidates and voters are very active on social media these days and take them seriously. The Wikipedia-Shapps story of last week. Who is on Twitter? Geographical distribution of candidates who have Twitter account.
