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Plausibility Theory | plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com Reviews
https://plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com
(by Brendon J. Brewer)
plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com
Brendon J. Brewer | Plausibility Theory
https://plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com/author/brendonbrewer
Author Archives: Brendon J. Brewer. About Brendon J. Brewer. I am a senior lecturer in the Department of Statistics at The University of Auckland. Any opinions expressed here are mine and are not endorsed by my employer. A frequentist does his maths homework. September 29, 2016. Gains from trade versus(? September 10, 2016. Markets and Auckland Housing. August 28, 2016. Like many similar cities around the world, Auckland housing has become much more expensive very rapidly over the last few years. The...
No Prior Information | Plausibility Theory
https://plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com/2013/09/12/no-prior-information/comment-page-1
Cricket Mythbusting: Not-Outs and Averages. Entropy in Vocal Technique →. September 12, 2013. Brendon J. Brewer. A Bayesian model is made up of a prior. For some parameters and a prior (sometimes called a sampling distribution) for the data,. When you multiply these together you have a joint prior. Ie independence, which means getting data does not affect your knowledge about the parameter. That’s what complete ignorance really means and it’s why the concept is not helpful. About Brendon J. Brewer. I am ...
Plausibility Theory | Page 2
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Newer posts →. Second article on Quillette. April 14, 2016. Brendon J. Brewer. For anyone who missed it, I had another article. Published in the online science and politics magazine. In this one, I describe Ed Jaynes’ view of the second law of thermodynamics, and how it’s really little more than the sum rule of probability theory. The probability of a Mormon second coming. November 26, 2015. Brendon J. Brewer. In a recent episode. Jesus will return to Earth to judge the living and the dead. The probabili...
What is a statistical model? | Plausibility Theory
https://plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com/2015/07/10/what-is-a-statistical-model/comment-page-1
Two analogies on ‘Waking Up’. The Ubiquity of Non-Informative Priors →. What is a statistical model? July 10, 2015. Brendon J. Brewer. What is a statistical model? My own views are different. Firstly, I don’t think statistical models are representations of the data at all (barring one exception, which I will discuss later). Instead, they are representations of the. Whether or not we should trust the results of an inference, which is what we usually want to know. About the values of. Is on the x-axis and.
No Prior Information | Plausibility Theory
https://plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com/2013/09/12/no-prior-information
Cricket Mythbusting: Not-Outs and Averages. Entropy in Vocal Technique →. September 12, 2013. Brendon J. Brewer. A Bayesian model is made up of a prior. For some parameters and a prior (sometimes called a sampling distribution) for the data,. When you multiply these together you have a joint prior. Ie independence, which means getting data does not affect your knowledge about the parameter. That’s what complete ignorance really means and it’s why the concept is not helpful. About Brendon J. Brewer. I am ...
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Statistics Diary | The Etz-Files
https://alexanderetz.com/statistics-diary
Blogging about science, statistics, and psychology. I’m going to write a diary entry every day, detailing a way in which I’ve thought about, interacted with, or discussed statistics. I’ve been inspired to do this by Andrew Gelman, here. Click the links below to read my deepest, most personal thoughts (about statistics and sometimes other related things). Click the different months to check it out, or you can pick one from the dropdown menu above. One thought on “ Statistics Diary. Enter your comment here.
Statistics | The Etz-Files
https://alexanderetz.com/tag/statistics
Blogging about science, statistics, and psychology. New revision of How to become a Bayesian in eight easy steps. September 4, 2016. September 4, 2016. Quentin, Fabian, Peter, Beth and I recently resubmitted our manuscript titled “How to become a Bayesian in eight easy steps: An annotated reading list” that we initially submitted earlier this year. You can find an updated preprint here. This was quite a minor revision. The largest change to the paper. You’ll have to check out the paper. July 20, 2016.
July 2015 | The Etz-Files
https://alexanderetz.com/statistics-diary/july-2015
Blogging about science, statistics, and psychology. Richard Morey shared a new preprint. Also- Got invited to review another paper at JMP! So exciting.🙂 It’s like 40 pages long though…. Oh well, I’ll give it a thorough review and do my duty as a reviewer. And I’ll sign it! Joe Hilgard wrote a nice piece. Oh yeah, Chris Engelhardt # didthemath. On that wobbly chairs crap from Psych Science. BFs are all terribly weak and even support the null. I mean, you didn’t need to see the BFs for this ...A new paper...
Fun Science | The Etz-Files
https://alexanderetz.com/category/fun-science
Blogging about science, statistics, and psychology. Understanding Bayes: Visualization of the Bayes Factor. August 9, 2015. November 15, 2015. In the first post. The likelihood is the workhorse of Bayesian inference. In order to understand Bayesian parameter estimation you need to understand the likelihood. In order to understand Bayesian model comparison (Bayes factors) you need to understand the likelihood and likelihood ratios. I’ve shown in another post. There’s that coin again. In that previous post.
Alex Etz | The Etz-Files
https://alexanderetz.com/author/alexanderetz
Blogging about science, statistics, and psychology. Articles posted by Alex Etz. New revision of How to become a Bayesian in eight easy steps. September 4, 2016. September 4, 2016. Quentin, Fabian, Peter, Beth and I recently resubmitted our manuscript titled “How to become a Bayesian in eight easy steps: An annotated reading list” that we initially submitted earlier this year. You can find an updated preprint here. This was quite a minor revision. The largest change to the paper. July 20, 2016. There hav...
January 2015 | The Etz-Files
https://alexanderetz.com/statistics-diary/january-2015
Blogging about science, statistics, and psychology. I had a discussion. I read a wonderful article. Today by EJ Wagenmakers and colleagues (Krypotos, Criss, and Iverson) detailing the effects of nonlinear transformations on different types of interactions (ordinal, crossover, etc). I wish they taught this in my stats classes! Then i read a blog post. The blog sparked a lot of discussion on Twitter. And lead us down the typical rabbit-hole that discussions of Bayesian statistics lend themselves to. In...
hypothesis testing | The Etz-Files
https://alexanderetz.com/tag/hypothesis-testing
Blogging about science, statistics, and psychology. Posts tagged hypothesis testing. New revision of How to become a Bayesian in eight easy steps. September 4, 2016. September 4, 2016. Quentin, Fabian, Peter, Beth and I recently resubmitted our manuscript titled “How to become a Bayesian in eight easy steps: An annotated reading list” that we initially submitted earlier this year. You can find an updated preprint here. This was quite a minor revision. The largest change to the paper. July 20, 2016. There...
June 2015 | The Etz-Files
https://alexanderetz.com/statistics-diary/june-2015
Blogging about science, statistics, and psychology. I took a bit of a vacation and break. I needed to recharge my batteries and I was feeling somewhat burned out. I think this problem probably comes from not taking more little breaks here and there. I think I learned a valuable lesson: don’t spend all day every day studying and reading and writing. Take a break! Working on the code for that post. The pretty function is amazing! Also- I didn’t take my own advice and worked on this blog post and prog...
March 2015 | The Etz-Files
https://alexanderetz.com/statistics-diary/march-2015
Blogging about science, statistics, and psychology. Lots of twittering today. Topics: What is p-hacking? Garden of forking paths. Embrace priors! Is saying someone p-hacked equivalent to accusing them of fraud? Is ignorance of the law an excuse? Lots of conversations and don’t feel like linking to them all. Pretty interesting system they have at Coursera. So far so good. Not much statistical on my mind today. Tried to format my Winnower piece but didn’t have time. And then their rejoinder. Very very inte...
April 2015 | The Etz-Files
https://alexanderetz.com/statistics-diary/april-2015
Blogging about science, statistics, and psychology. Reading more of Edwards’s book on Likelihood. He has a familiar writing style to me. Very conversational, which to me makes his arguments easier to follow. Also- have had 2 reviews on the winnower piece, so I should get started on updating it and incorporating their feedback. Returns the likelihood ratio for p1 over p2. S is number of successes in n trials. P1 is parameter value 1 and p2 is parameter value 2 (for specific comparisons). Written by EJ Wag...
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Plausibilities
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Plausible Arguments
Plausible Arguments: Rejecting the implausible since 2006. A typical software geek. The atypical geek, and the PhD side of the family. Our photo archive. Another Nasal application. We're married. Here's proof. Andy's own scripting language. This blog was written in Nasal. Free software flight simulation. Andy did the "YASim" FDM. Mechanism. This one. Seems to look good at first glance. Certainly its easy to integrate, and the captcha images look pretty. On Monday 12 May 2008 10:10am. I hacked up my left ...
plausibility in a sentence | simple examples
In A Sentence .org. The best little site that helps you understand word usage with examples. Plausibility in a sentence. It is to preserve the. Of an unbiased viewpoint. I chalked that up to the billionaire supergenius creator, which also hurts the. Like a good trolling, link bait has have a slight semblance of. Since we are not even aiming for. I say Google will buy Apple and convert the iPhone to Android. Same argument can be used to provide. But with no understanding. Would your belief as to the.
Plausibility.net
A directory of plausible and implausible things. A sudden intake of breath. A sudden intake of breath. May 7th, 2013 by JP. Is the youngest person to have a paper published in a peer reviewed medical journal. Her story is an inspiring one, how at age nine she conducted research that debunked therapeutic touch. Little wonder that the tale is often told, including, in 2011, by Michael Shermer at a talk he gave right here in Ottawa. A just cause, the wrong celebrity, a PR disaster. January 31st, 2013 by JP.
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plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com
Plausibility Theory
The Ubiquity of Non-Informative Priors. August 9, 2015. Brendon J. Brewer. Over on the Bayesian Philosophy. Blog, there is an interesting short post. I have previously criticised notions of “complete ignorance”. I) The phrase “at random”. For example, there are 10 balls in an urn and one is selected at random. This is a disguise for the principle of indifference. Has disease X is also 2%. This is what you’d get by enumerating the set of all Aucklanders and applying indifference over that set. None of thi...
Plausible Deniability - The Ebon Hawk - Star Wars: The Old Republic - Guild Hosting - Gamer Launch
Use Your Gamer Launch Account. Your account from any Gamer Launch site is valid here. Keep Me Logged In. Currently taking tanks or healers for progression team. Considering all roles for SM farming team. Alt runs of DF NiM? 28 Coming next tuesday. EVE Online: Chronicles of a New Eden - BlackmailEVE Online Logo. Aug 10th 3:23 pm. Heroes of the Storm: Americas Championship Headed to Sin City in SeptemberHeroes of the Storm Logo. Aug 11th 2:40 pm. Aug 11th 2:33 pm. Aug 11th 2:15 pm. Aug 11th 2:09 pm. Our ty...
Plausible Denial Productions
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Plausible/Impossible
Sunday, June 27, 2010. The Most Vile, Unredeeming Hotels Ever Built—Ever! Early concept drawing for the Dolphin. The Swan and Dolphin Resorts at Walt Disney World. For a couple of chain hotels, there’s certainly been a great deal written about these buildings. At Walt Disney World, that meant exploiting the thing they had plenty of: LAND! The first is the most conspicuous: the architecture of the Swan and Dolphin. Model of The Walt Disney Company corporate. The second bit of finesse Eisner employed with ...
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