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Prediction

Experiment in prospective earthquake prediction. Made in advance with a lead time months. Using Reverse Tracing of Precursors (RTP). On June 21, 2003 we have started an experiment in prediction of strong earthquakes, with characteristic lead time months, using the prediction algorithm Reverse Tracing of Precursors. RTP) Our goal is to test this algorithm, sharing the results with the potentially interested specialists. V Keilis-Borok, P. Shebalin, A. Gabrielov, D. Turcotte, PEPI, 2004. Successful predict...

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Prediction | rtptest.org Reviews
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Experiment in prospective earthquake prediction. Made in advance with a lead time months. Using Reverse Tracing of Precursors (RTP). On June 21, 2003 we have started an experiment in prediction of strong earthquakes, with characteristic lead time months, using the prediction algorithm Reverse Tracing of Precursors. RTP) Our goal is to test this algorithm, sharing the results with the potentially interested specialists. V Keilis-Borok, P. Shebalin, A. Gabrielov, D. Turcotte, PEPI, 2004. Successful predict...
<META>
KEYWORDS
1 introduction
2 other connected references
3 1 regions considered
4 outlining polygon
5 eastern mediterranean
6 north pacific
7 current predictions
8 password protected
9 archive
10 acknowledgements
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introduction,other connected references,1 regions considered,outlining polygon,eastern mediterranean,north pacific,current predictions,password protected,archive,acknowledgements,v keilis borok
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Prediction | rtptest.org Reviews

https://rtptest.org

Experiment in prospective earthquake prediction. Made in advance with a lead time months. Using Reverse Tracing of Precursors (RTP). On June 21, 2003 we have started an experiment in prediction of strong earthquakes, with characteristic lead time months, using the prediction algorithm Reverse Tracing of Precursors. RTP) Our goal is to test this algorithm, sharing the results with the potentially interested specialists. V Keilis-Borok, P. Shebalin, A. Gabrielov, D. Turcotte, PEPI, 2004. Successful predict...

INTERNAL PAGES

rtptest.org rtptest.org
1

Acknowledgements

http://rtptest.org/acknowledgements.htm

Important for this experiment are the earthquake catalogs:. ANSS composite catalog, Advanced National Seismic System (ANSS), hosted by Northern California Earthquake Data Center (NCEDC), http:/ www.ncedc.org/cnss/. Catalogs by Earthquake Hazards Program, USGS, data available through FTP: PDE monthly, ftp:/ hazards.cr.usgs.gov/pde. PDE weekly and QED, ftp:/ hazards.cr.usgs.gov/weekly. The catalog by Geophysical Institute of Israel, http:/ www.gii.co.il/html/seis/seis fs.html.

2

Current predictions

http://rtptest.org/rtp2/index.htm

Current predictions (текущие прогнозы). N Kurile Islands-S. Kachatka Technical info:. List of earthquakes that formed the precursory chain (список эпицентров, свормировавших цепочку. Север Курил и Юг Камчатки. List of centers and radii of circles forming area of prediction (список центров кругов образующих область тревоги). End on 20 January, 2014) Variant A (. Polygon outlining area of prediction (Кооринаты ломаной линии, оконтуривающей область тревоги). End on 30 June, 2014). End on 30 May, 2014).

3

Archive

http://rtptest.org/archive.htm

Prediction #1 (Japan region) p iugg03.pdf. Technical info A2002686.D1. Prediction #2 (Central California) Prediction Cal03a all.pdf. Technical info A2003180.D1. Prediction #3 (Southern California) Issue1.pdf. Technical info A2003704.D1. Prediction #4 (Northern Dinarides, Italy-Austria-Slovenia) Issue1.pdf. Technical info A2003798.D1. Prediction #5 (Japan region) Issue2.pdf. Technical info A2003734.D1. Prediction #6 (Southern California) Issue4.pdf. Technical info A2004818.D1. Technical info rtp6f.d1.

4

Experiment in prediction by RTP algorithm

http://rtptest.org/SUMMARY_report_mar12.htm

Summary of the experiment of prospective prediction using RTP algorithm, June 2003 March 2012. Target or near target earthquake. Mar 27, 2003 -. Jan 27, 2004. July 1, 2003. Sep 25, 2003,. May 5, 2003 -. Feb 27, 2004. June 24, 2003. Dec 22, 2003,. Oct 29, 2003 - Sep 05, 2004. May 12, 2004. Feb 8, 2004 - Nov 8, 2004. June 1, 2004. Sep 5, 2004, M. Outside the region;. 127 km outside alarm. Feb 29, 2004 - Nov 29, 2004. May 12, 2004. Jul 12, 2004,. Nov 14, 2004 - Aug 14, 2005. Jun 17, 2005 - Mar 17, 2006.

5

Regions considered

http://rtptest.org/regions.htm

California, south-western Oregon and western Nevada. Area covered by prediction is shown by solid line. Prediction is targeted at the earthquakes with magnitude M. Central and northern Honsu, Hokkaido and southern Kurils. Area covered by prediction is shown by solid line. Prediction is targeted at the earthquakes with magnitude M. Central Apennines, Alps, Northern Dinarides and Po Valley. Area covered by prediction is shown by solid line. Prediction is targeted at the earthquakes with magnitude M.

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Experiment in prospective earthquake prediction. Made in advance with a lead time months. Using Reverse Tracing of Precursors (RTP). On June 21, 2003 we have started an experiment in prediction of strong earthquakes, with characteristic lead time months, using the prediction algorithm Reverse Tracing of Precursors. RTP) Our goal is to test this algorithm, sharing the results with the potentially interested specialists. V Keilis-Borok, P. Shebalin, A. Gabrielov, D. Turcotte, PEPI, 2004. Successful predict...

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