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Supreme Court Ideology Project

Supreme Court Ideology Project. University of Texas at Austin. Department of Political Science. University of Wisconsin–Madison. Estimates updated on April 27. This website uses Bayesian ideal point estimation to update our beliefs about the location of Supreme Court justices, following the work of Martin and Quinn. Page for more information), but it is highly unlikely that either is the most conservative justice on the Court today. Justice Alito seem to be slightly more conservative than Chief Justi...

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Supreme Court Ideology Project | sct.tahk.us Reviews

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Supreme Court Ideology Project. University of Texas at Austin. Department of Political Science. University of Wisconsin–Madison. Estimates updated on April 27. This website uses Bayesian ideal point estimation to update our beliefs about the location of Supreme Court justices, following the work of Martin and Quinn. Page for more information), but it is highly unlikely that either is the most conservative justice on the Court today. Justice Alito seem to be slightly more conservative than Chief Justi...

<META> KEYWORDS

1 stephen jessee

2 department of government

3 alexander tahk

4 introduction

5 background

6 current beliefs

7 trend lines

8 credible intervals

9 technical

10 contact information

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Supreme Court Ideology Project | sct.tahk.us Reviews

https://sct.tahk.us

Supreme Court Ideology Project. University of Texas at Austin. Department of Political Science. University of Wisconsin–Madison. Estimates updated on April 27. This website uses Bayesian ideal point estimation to update our beliefs about the location of Supreme Court justices, following the work of Martin and Quinn. Page for more information), but it is highly unlikely that either is the most conservative justice on the Court today. Justice Alito seem to be slightly more conservative than Chief Justi...

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sct.tahk.us

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Supreme Court Ideology Project - Credible Intervals

http://sct.tahk.us/hpd.html

Supreme Court Ideology Project. Our estimation technique allows us to make probability statements about our beliefs regarding justices’ locations. We update these beliefs after every vote cast, learning more and more about the likely location of the justices’ ideological positions. The scale is set so that former Justice O’Connor and Chief Justice Rehnquist have ideal points at 0 and 1, respectively.

2

Supreme Court Ideology Project - Trend Lines

http://sct.tahk.us/trend.html

Supreme Court Ideology Project. The graphs below displays the updated probability, after each new vote, of the most recently appointed justices being either the most extreme justice on the court or more extreme than the justices they replaced. As one might expect, Justice Alito’s position does not change noticeably during the earlier votes because he was not casting votes at that time. His position does change slightly as our beliefs about the other justices change.

3

Supreme Court Ideology Project - Background Information

http://sct.tahk.us/background.html

Supreme Court Ideology Project. Section for more information on the technical details of our model and estimation technique. Our ideal point estimation is done from a Bayesian statistical framework. In Bayesian. And the data we have observed (in this case, the votes the justices have cast). As with our prior beliefs, our posterior beliefs are quantified as a probability distribution. Interested readers can refer to an article. American Political Science Review. 2004, Vol. 98, No. 2) for more info...

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Supreme Court Ideology Project - Technical Information

http://sct.tahk.us/technical.html

Supreme Court Ideology Project. For our statistical model, we follow Clinton, Jackman and Rivers. American Political Science Review. Voting with the majority on case. Is equal to β. Minus; α. Equals twice the difference between the yea and nay positions on case. Equals the difference between the squared yea and nay positions on case. We run our ideal point model with vague priors and the identifying restriction that Justice O’Connor has an ideal point of 0 and Chief Justice Rehnquist has an ideal p...

5

Supreme Court Ideology Project - Current Beliefs

http://sct.tahk.us/current.html

Supreme Court Ideology Project. The more the densities for two justices overlap, the less able we are to say for sure which is more conservative and which is more liberal. For some justices, however, we are virtually certain about their ranking relative to their colleagues. We can be almost certain, for example, that Justices Thomas and Scalia are more conservative than the other justices.

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Supreme Court Ideology Project

Supreme Court Ideology Project. University of Texas at Austin. Department of Political Science. University of Wisconsin–Madison. Estimates updated on April 27. This website uses Bayesian ideal point estimation to update our beliefs about the location of Supreme Court justices, following the work of Martin and Quinn. Page for more information), but it is highly unlikely that either is the most conservative justice on the Court today. Justice Alito seem to be slightly more conservative than Chief Justi...

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