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The Model Nation | Predicting the 2015 UK General Election

Predicting the 2015 UK General Election. November 5, 2013. Assuming a May 7th election date, today is almost exactly 18 months to go until the 2015 UK General Election and the model predictions have been updated for this week. There hasn’t been any huge shift in the results, with the probability of a Conservative majority dropping by about 1%. October 20, 2013. Basics of the Model. October 19, 2013. In this post I’m going to describe the basic components of the election prediction model. I̵...Project...

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The Model Nation | Predicting the 2015 UK General Election | themodelnation.com Reviews

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Predicting the 2015 UK General Election. November 5, 2013. Assuming a May 7th election date, today is almost exactly 18 months to go until the 2015 UK General Election and the model predictions have been updated for this week. There hasn’t been any huge shift in the results, with the probability of a Conservative majority dropping by about 1%. October 20, 2013. Basics of the Model. October 19, 2013. In this post I’m going to describe the basic components of the election prediction model. I&#821...Project...

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The Model Nation | Predicting the 2015 UK General Election | themodelnation.com Reviews

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Predicting the 2015 UK General Election. November 5, 2013. Assuming a May 7th election date, today is almost exactly 18 months to go until the 2015 UK General Election and the model predictions have been updated for this week. There hasn’t been any huge shift in the results, with the probability of a Conservative majority dropping by about 1%. October 20, 2013. Basics of the Model. October 19, 2013. In this post I’m going to describe the basic components of the election prediction model. I&#821...Project...

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Predictions Update | The Model Nation

http://themodelnation.com/prediction/predictions-update

Predicting the 2015 UK General Election. November 5, 2013. Assuming a May 7th election date, today is almost exactly 18 months to go until the 2015 UK General Election and the model predictions have been updated for this week. There hasn’t been any huge shift in the results, with the probability of a Conservative majority dropping by about 1%. Leave a Reply Cancel reply. Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *. You may use these. Basics of the Model.

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November | 2013 | The Model Nation

http://themodelnation.com/2013/11

Predicting the 2015 UK General Election. Monthly Archives: November 2013. November 5, 2013. Assuming a May 7th election date, today is almost exactly 18 months to go until the 2015 UK General Election and the model predictions have been updated for this week. There hasn’t been any huge shift in the results, with the probability of a Conservative majority dropping by about 1%. Basics of the Model. Proudly powered by WordPress.

3

First Predictions | The Model Nation

http://themodelnation.com/uncategorized/first-predictions

Predicting the 2015 UK General Election. October 20, 2013. The biggest single uncertainty associated with election predictions at this point is how much the polls might move between now and May 2015. If things remain as they are, the model suggests the Conservatives have only around a 1% chance of achieving an overall majority. However 18 months is a long time in politics and historical data shows a 10% swing in the Conservatives’ favour is far from impossible. Basics of the Model. You may use these.

4

Uncategorized | The Model Nation

http://themodelnation.com/category/uncategorized

Predicting the 2015 UK General Election. October 20, 2013. The biggest single uncertainty associated with election predictions at this point is how much the polls might move between now and May 2015. If things remain as they are, the model suggests the Conservatives have only around a 1% chance of achieving an overall majority. However 18 months is a long time in politics and historical data shows a 10% swing in the Conservatives’ favour is far from impossible. Basics of the Model.

5

About This Site | The Model Nation

http://themodelnation.com/general/about-this-site

Predicting the 2015 UK General Election. October 13, 2013. Over the next 18 months, this site will be used to release predictions of the result of the 2015 UK General Election. My background is data analysis not political science so my approach will be to rely on historical data and statistical models. The initial model posted here will be simple but will improve significantly over time. Basics of the Model →. Leave a Reply Cancel reply. Your email address will not be published. You may use these.

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The Model Nation | Predicting the 2015 UK General Election

Predicting the 2015 UK General Election. November 5, 2013. Assuming a May 7th election date, today is almost exactly 18 months to go until the 2015 UK General Election and the model predictions have been updated for this week. There hasn’t been any huge shift in the results, with the probability of a Conservative majority dropping by about 1%. October 20, 2013. Basics of the Model. October 19, 2013. In this post I’m going to describe the basic components of the election prediction model. I&#821...Project...

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