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Ӱ Τн)磬Ͽѧ ڹʷ ڽУС2003ŵѧߡŦԼѧѧԺѧ·(Robert F. Engle) ƸϿѧڡױǴѧ ʿĿ • •ڶѷ(Lars Tyge Nielsen) ʱƸϿѧڡ. ϿѧУΪ· · ·ڶѷƸ飬ϿѧУգѧУλ ľѧҼϿʾӭ. Middot; · ·ڶѷ Ϊ“ȫȶǰ”“ڽ”ѧ棬 Ĺ ѧչ “”ڡ. Bull;ѧҡ䴴ARCHģھáͳƵпѧĹס2003ƾһԹʼҿѧԺŵѧڼҪоɹģ ACDģ CAViaRģԼDCCģ ĿǰоȤʱгṹʵ о. 1969ÿ ѧѧʿѧλʡѧԺ(MIT)ѧϵν 1975-2000νڼݴѧʥǸУ(UCSD)ѧϵĿǰŦԼѧѧϵMichael ArmellinoڡȺѧԺʿѧѧԺԺʿͳѧԺʿѧԺʿҿѧԺԺʿ羭 Ժʿ ٻ�ߵҵоѧԺѧʿʿѧУʿѧλ. Bull; •ڶѷڸ籾ѧѧ ʿѧλڹѧþѧʿѧλڹʶڿƪġŷѧԺ УרҵĽڡԺʦίԱϯԼʿĿˡĴ ѧԺһҵѧ Ӹѧ ѧҮ ѧǴѧɼУԼŷĶѧԺν. ڸʢ ղŵθ λĦ ģ۲ŵ ʲ βܡθ籾ѧԺŦԼѧѧѧԺ ںͷѧߣŷѧԺϯڶίԱ άɴѧѧԺѧ СPricing and Hedging of Derivative Securitiesţѧ档.
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ʴ Ӱ)129գǧڳѧųﱸĽУУʷĻڹѧ չչ ڴٽУʷĻУ ѧǶϿУʷȤУίǡУչ. УУʷĻ 28УʷƬչѧУ19192015Уõʷ ݺޡŲߡ ʡϿ ԴáɽáľիͼݵϽտ Уʦšë Ӳ졢У滮ʷ ȫչʾϿ“ йй” ķչ ɫѧͳ. ѦŸ ýܣУʷĻȽڽУչΪУʷĻȣųԱʱ6 DZУʷб룬ڼõѧԺʷѧԺУʷоҡ�УίĴ ϣ УʷĻ Ͽ ʦΪϿĻס. Ϥѧ2006dzʮꡣʼϿѧϿΪ ԷʦΪԷḻѧ ѧۺΪĿģΪУι ѧϰĸʿṩʵĵη. ѦԺ2016 С ʱ ѡѧϰ. ߣ022-23508737 022-23508464 Ͷ䣺nknews@nankai.edu.cn.
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Ldquo;Ӣվÿ ѧУľźϢ Ŀһ ”ͻ ѧϸߡ. Ᵽ“Ӣվ”ǽһʱѧУƶһ 201510 ѧУ ڼǿϿѧӢվ蹤 ɹѧǣͷίϢ칫ҺѧԺṩ λѧԺϣӢվ衣ʱʱĽ蹤 Ӣվ()ߡվһҳϿſԺϵѧоʽ ƸУͽ8飬“ȷḻ”Ϊѧ硢ý塢ѧʺ鼰ϿʦУѵȲ Ⱥȫλ廯չʾǧڳ ѧɫЧѧУʻչ. ѦУӢվУһʵѧԺӢվҲ ءͻѧɫעϢԺȷԡǿʵùΪ һʱŬ ѧԺλӢվЧ“2016ϿѧӢվȻ ”У23ӢվȽλ á. Ldquo;Уص㿼Ӣվݡ 4 4 ռ Ϊ55 20 10 15 ”ѧԺʦӢվרҴ ελ. ڲרҵѧԺУѧԺѧѧԺѧԺѧѧԺϿѧ빤ѧԺѧѧѧԺ6ѧԺɼ80ϣռרҵѧԺ26%ѧԺҩѧԺѧ빤ѧԺѧѧԺѧԺĻѧԺ ѧԺ ѧԺѧԺѧԺ ѧԺ11ѧԺɼ40-80 䣬ռרҵѧԺ48%7ĽزУѧƴɼ80ϣռ 29% оԺƼϿУ ɼ50-80 䣬ռ 57%. ѦԺڴ ӢվһٻصȽ ûϣѧԺίý Ӣվľ顣 ѧԺڹʻѧʶǿƽʱעѧʶԽӣѧԺ ӢվҪԺͱҪ ɹʶγԶ뽻칫ҡ 칫ҡϢΪǣͷλϵġѧĿѧСϵͳѧ ȸλϡĽ顣 ʱӢվҪѧص㣬 Уѧϰȡ Ҫһ Ϣǿļ ţγɳЧƣάվܡ. ѦԺ2016 С ʱ ѡѧϰ.
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ѶԱ Ӱ )1289գ“йṤߵʵ”Ϊ2016Ṥоѧ ᣬϿѧ ѧԺС ϿѧṤϵĴѧṤѧϵϿѧ—ĴѧоĹ 졣й 40У70ѧӻһãṤרҵ뱾оµĽ. ѦԺԺ ɽڡĴѧṤѧϵƺ鸱ڡйṤЭ � ϿѧṤϵιƽڷ ڿĻʽ ǡйṤЭ רŷţԴ ٿףء ῪĻʽϿѧṤϵ. ں ھתͱ ҲΪṤ۹ʵ�ƶȴṩսϣԽԽṤרҵѧۼһ𣬻Ӧʱٻ졢չ ȺȵѧнΪ ṤḣķչѧӵӦйס “ɹ�ϲη” ƶҰоļ ƺ“”ĺζṤоʾṤпѧƵԣӦ Ч ʶڴѧתΪѧߵĹУӦ桢Ƽ ȡƽԱṤרҵչ ǰǿоĹؼרҵΣԲλѧеϣҲΪѧпϵĽ顣. ڴ ԽΣλŮṤʵ Ṥ롢 չߡϱƶȸĸ ϰʿߡҰйṤʷ繤չػṤ뾭顢ȷ ԼоʵṤıЧĹʶԻн. ڷ ΣλԱ չ ṤԼṤչȺṤ 㱨 ɲλѧԼ Լķ ڽײǻ۵Ļ�ȫ3 רҵʦ ѧǵѧ ȷ νһ ѧǵоԵĽ顣۹ƽ飬ĴѧϿѧ ѧѧŴѧ㽭ʦѧйѧѧѧͱҵѧ10 ѧ Ľ. 2010ϿѧĴѧ һһȵṤоѧ ᣬѽꡣ ΪṤᱣḣרҵоṩѧ뾭ƽ ٽй ѧӵĹ 뻥 һڣ “翧” ȫλԱ ǰṤγáѧרҵʵϰ ҵ 4 Ṥϵ սὫγϵͳĵбύزţƶṤרҵҪ塣.
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ѶԱ ӪӪ )111520գɹ롢2016“ഺ”кҵȫѧҵڵӿƼѧ 졣ǧڳ“ũγ”洴ҵĿ Ƽι ٻ�“ũγ”иУΨһһĿ Ƽι ίѡΪ7ƽĿ һμӴ ݡ. Ldquo;ũγ”洴ҵĿǧڳ ѧԺ紺ζӳڴйũƷƽ ƶ“ũγ”ҵŶеƽ ģʽũƷ չ“ഺȥԶ” ũ ũļ衢ũݡũη ȷʽũ塣Ŀǰ“ũγ”ȫؿչ� ۼ 300ũƷ۶ 1800�3ũա. Ldquo; Ƽι ”ǧڳ ѧѧԺʿ ζӳѧѧԺΰ йPVCɫ ṩ Ʒ“ϩ”һPVCPVCеĹȾ ȣӵйгӪģʽкҵص㣬õרҵĸ Ͽɡ. Ǧڳ ҵĿ“Ȼѯι ”“ȵø—ϵİȫ” �ȫѧҵҵƻҵʵս. УУʡʡȫѡΣȫ220У399Ŀμ224ҵƻƷ110ҵʵսƷ65洴ҵƷϢũҵҽҩϡеĻȶ �磬ίʮ“ս”ѧҵƻĿ75ҵʵսĿ38洴ҵĿ212018㽭ѧа졣. ǴһǣĴʡʡ쵼 롢йЭ粿й ȯҵЭᡢĴʡزšӿƼѧ Լкҵŵȹ λȫĴҵڻͶʻרҺͲʦ6000 μӻ. ߣ022-23508737 022-23508464 Ͷ䣺nknews@nankai.edu.cn.
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Դ ʱ䣺 2016-11-11 09:34. Ӭӵ ϲ ɾ “ ” ʻѧˮƽ. Ӭӵ ϲ ɾ λ ˮƽѧƽȲչ. Ӭӵ ϲ ɾ ǰ дºͷ. Ӭӵ ϲ ɾ ȫ “”ʽȫʵʩ. Ӭӵ ϲ ɾ ǿУ ˮƽʦʶ鲻. ѦԺ2016 С ʱ ѡѧϰ. ߣ022-23508737 022-23508464 Ͷ䣺nknews@nankai.edu.cn.
